Part of: Heat vs. Pacers

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $131,336.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate made a $74.8k last-minute buy-equivalent on Heat -8.5 amid a huge volume spike, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor has won 710 of 1,004 resolved trades and is up $1.76M lifetime.
  • They made a $74.8k bet with about 1 minute left before resolution, a pattern that can reflect a real-time edge in live sports.
  • Selling Pacers at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Heat at 50¢, and the market also saw a 281x volume spike.

$74,819 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 72%

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

A 5-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early $27k profit, and a 78% hit rate just put another $3.3k into Pacers against the spread at near-even odds.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already made 12 notable bets totaling $54.7k and is up $27.3k.
  • The bettor has won 7 of 9 resolved markets, which is strong for a brand-new account.
  • They bought Pacers at 51¢ on a liquid NBA spread market, suggesting fresh conviction rather than a random thin-market punt.

$3,303 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 88%

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and strong realized edge just put $5.7k on Pacers +8.5 at roughly even odds, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite only one trigger.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $73.7k overall
  • They bought $5.7k of Pacers at 51¢, close to even odds, which suggests they see the spread as mispriced
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random thin-market punt

$5,727 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 59%

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

Three high-volume, highly profitable sports bettors all bought Heat -8.5 at 51¢ at the same time, creating a strong coordinated signal in a market seeing an extreme volume spike.

  • Three proven bettors all bought Heat -8.5 within seconds, putting down $42.9k at 51¢
  • These wallets have strong long-term results, including 79% and 85% win rates across 1,200+ resolved bets
  • Market volume is running 435x normal, and this cluster accounts for a big chunk of today's action

$42,860 on Heat

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

A very high-performing serial sports trader with an 86% win rate and nearly $18.9M in profit bought Pacers +8.5 at 49¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 449 resolved trades and is up $18.9M lifetime.
  • They trade across 59 related markets over 47 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge.
  • Bought Pacers +8.5 at 49¢, essentially a coin-flip price with a proven bettor taking the underdog spread.

$4,627 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 11392896, $56,288 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xc257...358e Outcome 11392896, $10,725 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 11392896, $4,949 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x9ff5...f136 Outcome 11392896, $1,369 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x128f...db9d Outcome 11392896, $942 (87% win rate)
  6. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 11392896, $500 (89% win rate)
  7. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 11392896, $408 (70% win rate)
  8. 0x20ea...1b1a Outcome 11392896, $400
  9. 0x30fb...4856 Outcome 11392896, $394 (96% win rate)
  10. 0x6b84...2f73 Outcome 11392896, $392

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

ResolvedHeat vs. Pacers$131,336 tracked5 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 29 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIA
39-36
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
IND
17-58
Draft Kings
Spread: MIA -8.5O/U: 245.5ML: -355/+280
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

44d ago

$74,819 on Heat at 50¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

44d ago

$3,303 on Pacers at 51¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

44d ago

$5,727 on Pacers at 51¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

44d ago

$42,860 on Heat at 51¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

44d ago

$4,627 on Pacers at 49¢

Related Theses