Part of: US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
This Polymarket prediction market covers the 2026 US Open ATP match between Arthur Gea and Botic van de Zandschulp, scheduled for September 7, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $91,031 in tracked smart-money activity; the listed resolution date is September 14, 2026.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $164,352.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New whale scaling into Botic
A very new repeat whale is adding roughly $91,000 to an existing Botic position while coordinated buying has driven the outcome sharply higher.
- A wallet only 11 hours old bought $91,000 of Botic, including an $86,806 single purchase.
- The bettor is adding to an existing $335,115 Botic position, showing strong one-sided conviction rather than a small exploratory trade.
- Botic rose about 34% amid a 26.8x volume spike, though the wallet’s track record is limited to one resolved win.
$91,031 on Botic van de Zandschulp | Wallet win rate: 74%
New wallet timed Gea's sharp drop
A highly profitable new wallet exited Arthur Gea at 80 cents before the market fell to 64 cents, creating a compelling contrarian signal toward Botic van de Zandschulp.
- This two-day-old wallet is up $2,554 with a 100% win rate across four resolved bets.
- It sold Arthur Gea at 80¢ before the price fell 21 percentage points to 64¢.
- The $3,278 exit plus an 11.1x volume spike signals meaningful conviction in the opposing side.
$3,278 on Botic van de Zandschulp | Wallet win rate: 40%
Veteran trader adds to Gea
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader added to an existing Gea position during an 11x volume spike, though the trade is currently underwater and the wallet's edge is modest relative to its average winning price.
- This bettor has won 65% of 54,493 resolved trades and is up $48.0M lifetime.
- The wallet added to an existing Arthur Gea position during an 11.1x historical volume spike.
- Gea has fallen from the 69¢ entry to about 64¢, so this is a high-profile but currently losing position rather than a confirmed hit.
$1,704 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 65%
96% win-rate serial trader exits Botic
An exceptionally profitable serial trader closed a Botic position, offering a credible but not freshly initiated signal toward Arthur Gea.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades—68 of 71—and is up $250,227 lifetime.
- The trader has positioned across 52 events, with a proven edge while entering at average odds of 46%.
- This was a position exit rather than a new bet: Botic shares bought around 26¢ were sold at 32¢, so the signal toward Arthur is weaker than a fresh purchase.
$1,355 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 96%
Three-wallet Botic conviction cluster
Three wallets deployed $68.4K into Botic, alongside a major volume spike and rapid repricing, though opposing Gea flow makes the signal mixed.
- Three wallets bought $68,437 of Botic, including one wallet that added roughly $60,000 in minutes.
- Trading volume surged to 78 times its historical average while Botic moved rapidly toward 62%.
- The signal is somewhat conflicted because four wallets also bought $24,941 of Gea, and the main bettors already held Botic positions.
$28,684 on Botic van de Zandschulp
88% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with 88% wins across 434 resolved positions is buying Arthur Gea at 40%, signaling meaningful conviction despite the market favoring Botic van de Zandschulp.
- This bettor has won 88% of 434 resolved positions and is up $2.7 million.
- They are taking Arthur Gea at 40%, backing the underdog against the market’s 60% favorite.
- The wallet has traded 349 events and 463 markets, providing a substantial track record behind this entry.
$4,100 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 87%
88% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with 88% wins across 434 resolved positions is buying Arthur Gea at 40%, signaling meaningful conviction despite the market favoring Botic van de Zandschulp.
- This bettor has won 88% of 434 resolved positions and is up $2.7 million.
- They are taking Arthur Gea at 40%, backing the underdog against the market’s 60% favorite.
- The wallet has traded 349 events and 463 markets, providing a substantial track record behind this entry.
$2,000 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 87%
88% winner scaling into Botic
A highly profitable serial trader with an 88% win rate is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Botic van de Zandschulp position at 60¢.
- This bettor has won 88% of 72 resolved trades and is up $122,876 lifetime.
- They added nearly $10,000 to an existing Botic position, bringing total investment to about $26,000.
- The 60¢ entry implies the trader sees meaningful value despite Botic already being the 60% market favorite.
$9,779 on Botic van de Zandschulp | Wallet win rate: 86%
81% winner backs Botic
A highly experienced serial trader with an 81% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Botic at 60%.
- This bettor wins 81% of 1,160 resolved trades and is up $644,000 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 366 events and 375 markets, showing extensive repeat experience rather than a one-off bet.
- A $3,000 purchase at 60¢ backs Botic despite the market making him only a 60% favorite.
$3,000 on Botic van de Zandschulp | Wallet win rate: 81%
Three-wallet Gea conviction cluster
Three wallets deployed $43,368 on Arthur Gea at 39¢, creating an extreme volume spike and adding to existing positions despite mixed track records.
- Three wallets bought $43,368 of Arthur Gea at 39¢, representing nearly 90% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- Two wallets were adding to existing Arthur Gea positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
- One participating bettor wins 65% of nearly 19,000 resolved trades and is up $848,000 lifetime, though the group’s overall track record is mixed.
$17,222 on Arthur Gea
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 70748358, $183,938 (65% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 70748358, $81,216 (49% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 70748358, $32,304 (92% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 70748358, $12,500 (95% win rate)
- 0xe077...f5ee — Outcome 70748358, $12,400 (86% win rate)
- 0x5f0e...7397 — Outcome 70748358, $11,522 (55% win rate)
- 0xf1ef...8cd6 — Outcome 70748358, $8,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x3f98...0aa1 — Outcome 70748358, $5,312 (82% win rate)
- 0x565c...878d — Outcome 70748358, $4,375 (75% win rate)
- 0x3663...8950 — Outcome 70748358, $3,700 (44% win rate)
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