LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Sentinels and Disguised in the LCS Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 4 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 2 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 2 against Sentinels. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,776.

Notable Trades

Linked cluster buying the dip

Three wallets, including two linked and one with a perfect 14-for-14 record, piled into Sentinels as the price was collapsing, creating a coordinated contrarian bet in a moderately thin book.

  • Three wallets put $8.5k on Sentinels in the same burst, and two of them trace back to the same funder.
  • One wallet is 14 for 14 on resolved markets, while another is up nearly $14k across 81 bets.
  • They bought Sentinels at 49¢-68¢ even as the market slid to 28¢, showing strong conviction into a sharp selloff.

$8,537 on Sentinels

88% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate bought Disguised at 37¢, making this underdog entry worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up about $647k lifetime
  • They have done this across 91 events and 130 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Disguised at 37¢ while the market now shows 38%, a cheap underdog entry in an active match market

$2,067 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 89%

88% win-rate esports bettor

A high-performing wallet with an 88% win rate and $647k profit made a large contrarian buy on Disguised, taking 75% of recent volume at 36¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up about $647k overall
  • They bought $6.9k of Disguised at 36¢, a price that implies strong value against the current favorite
  • This single trade was 75% of recent market volume, showing real conviction rather than routine activity

$6,932 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable new whale

An 8-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profits just put another $2.2k into Sentinels, showing continued conviction despite only moderate market activity.

  • This 8-day-old wallet has already been flagged 10 times for large bets and is up $3,013 so far
  • They bought $2,240 of Sentinels at 64¢, adding another sizable position in a modest-volume market
  • The market has been moving up recently, with Sentinels up about 10 points in the last day

$2,240 on Sentinels | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9750...263d Sentinels, $20,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x3b63...4acd Disguised, $16,487
  3. 0x57f9...895d Sentinels, $13,910 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x66d2...4186 Sentinels, $5,520 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x69bf...0c5d Sentinels, $2,646
  6. 0x82dc...5700 Sentinels, $2,222
  7. 0xdbb3...76a9 Sentinels, $2,182
  8. 0x31b0...8bf3 Disguised, $1,666 (37% win rate)
  9. 0x5b10...9659 Sentinels, $1,600 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x2924...0f31 Sentinels, $1,499 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

Resolved$19,776 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Sentinels
0¢
Disguised
100¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Sentinels and Disguised in the LCS Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 4 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 2 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 2 against Sentinels. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

14h ago

$8,537 on Sentinels at 58¢

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

14h ago

$2,067 on Disguised at 37¢

37¢100¢63¢

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

15h ago

$6,932 on Disguised at 36¢

36¢100¢64¢

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

15h ago

$2,240 on Sentinels at 64¢

Related Theses

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner | PolySpotter