Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev
This Polymarket covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 6, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $4,510 in smart money and 1 signal, including sharp activity backing the favorite.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,060.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backs favorite
Three wallets bought Medvedev together, including a highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and $4.25M lifetime profit, while the price jumped sharply.
- A bettor who wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $4.25M joined this side.
- Three wallets bought the same outcome for $4.5K, pushing the price from as low as 75¢ to 92¢.
- The flow is one-sided and includes serial sports bettors with thousands of resolved markets.
$4,510 on Daniil Medvedev
Elite sports sharp buying favorite
Surfacing because this is a proven sharp sports bettor with an 81% long-term win rate and $4.25M profit buying Medvedev before the price moved from 82% to 90%.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.25M lifetime.
- They have traded across 414 events with over $5.7M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Medvedev at 82%, and the market has already moved to 90%.
$2,050 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 81%
82% serial sports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate and $612k profit bought Medvedev in a moderately quiet Wimbledon market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $612k lifetime.
- They have traded across 830 events with $4.37M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $2.5k buy was larger than the market’s recent quiet volume at the time of the signal.
$2,500 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xc4a8...246d — Outcome 10415551, $5,600 (64% win rate)
- 0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 10415551, $4,666 (41% win rate)
- 0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 10415551, $3,500 (39% win rate)
- 0x67ed...085a — Outcome 10415551, $2,258 (83% win rate)
- 0x6318...46b1 — Outcome 10415551, $2,246
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 10415551, $2,055 (59% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 10415551, $1,800 (31% win rate)
- 0xbbae...9a39 — Outcome 10415551, $1,500
- 0x902f...5eb6 — Outcome 10415551, $1,034
- 0xf970...f7f6 — Outcome 10415551, $1,000 (48% win rate)
