Part of: Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,580.

Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Yes surge

Coordinated Yes buying, a 16x volume spike, and a 29-point price move make this worth surfacing, though the market has already run from 31–60¢ entries to 88¢.

Four wallets pushed $8.3k onto Yes, with fresh buys landing before the move at 31–60¢.
Volume is running 16x above normal and Yes jumped 29 points in the scan window.
One participating wallet has won 71% of 13,825 resolved bets and is up $138k lifetime.

$8,303 on Yes

Seasoned trader fades rally

Moderately interesting No bet from a seasoned cross-market trader with positive history, placed during a major volume spike in a relatively thin F1 market.

This bettor has 297 resolved trades, wins 61%, and is up about $17.9K lifetime.
Market activity spiked 110x above normal, and this $6.6K No bet is larger than posted liquidity.
Buying No at 68¢ fades Kimi after the Yes price jumped 14.5% in one day.

$6,562 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

70% winner buying YES

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate and $162k lifetime profit bought Kimi Antonelli Yes, though the bet size is moderate and the market is liquid.

This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up about $162k lifetime.
They have traded across 55 events with $126k deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Market price is now around 32¢, below their 35¢ entry.

$2,715 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0x59e8...c5e8 — Outcome 92450449, $22,985 (61% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 92450449, $17,385
0x18c4...f6dc — Outcome 92450449, $12,008 (71% win rate)
0x85b8...6b6a — Outcome 92450449, $7,431 (64% win rate)
0xea48...1094 — Outcome 92450449, $3,162
0xe394...289c — Outcome 92450449, $3,000 (85% win rate)
0xbf72...6378 — Outcome 92450449, $2,181 (21% win rate)
0x1866...57b0 — Outcome 92450449, $2,147
0xd180...9d31 — Outcome 92450449, $1,514
0xe542...0a37 — Outcome 92450449, $1,500 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

ResolvedMiami Grand Prix: Driver Winner$17,580 tracked3 signalsFormula 1f1SportsGrand PrixGames

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.