Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,388.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 4H

Notable Trades

Serial last-minute timer

Serial near-resolution bettor bought Up at 69¢ minutes before close and the market immediately moved to 100%, consistent with a repeat last-minute timing edge.

  • This bettor has made 12 near-resolution bets across 11 markets and is up $30,870 overall.
  • They bought Up at 69¢ just 6.5 minutes before resolution, and the market moved to 100%.
  • This looks like a timing-edge play on the Chainlink BTC resolution window rather than a routine whale bet.

$1,388 on Up | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable 3-day repeat bettor

A very new wallet with repeated large bets and early profits bought BTC Up with meaningful size in a relatively small market, though the position has moved against its entry.

  • This 3-day-old wallet is already up $12.4K across 8 resolved bets.
  • It has been flagged 6 times, with $8.5K in recent large positions.
  • Bought Up at 44¢ in a market with only $6.2K liquidity; shares are now 34¢.

$2,000 on Up | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc50...4c82 — Outcome 73270420, $7,327 (40% win rate)
  2. 0x5ca0...a39e — Outcome 73270420, $1,000
  3. 0xfe02...06da — Outcome 73270420, $559
  4. 0x79d4...187e — Outcome 73270420, $357 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xfb23...e454 — Outcome 73270420, $127
  6. 0xc2cd...f3d1 — Outcome 73270420, $127
  7. 0x7844...28c4 — Outcome 73270420, $120
  8. 0x9df1...7776 — Outcome 73270420, $92
  9. 0xdf28...a9f8 — Outcome 73270420, $79
  10. 0x3880...ab7d — Outcome 73270420, $39

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved$3,388 tracked2 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin4H

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

3h ago

$1,388 on Up at 69¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

5h ago

$2,000 on Up at 44¢