What price source determines the Bitcoin $85K market outcome?

The market uses Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, specifically the final “High” price of each candle, as the resolution source.

Does Bitcoin need to close above $85,000 for this market to resolve Yes?

No. Bitcoin only needs to have a Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high equal to or greater than $85,000 during the eligible period. A daily close or sustained trade above $85,000 is not required.

When does the Bitcoin $85,000 by 2026 market resolve?

The market resolves after the end of December 31, 2026 ET, with the listed resolution date of January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this BTC market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,020 in smart money tied to this market across 1 signal, including a recent alert that an 88% winner was buying BTC upside.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Q: Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

This Polymarket market resolves to “Yes” if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle records a high price of $85,000 or more before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026, based on any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high at or above $85,000 after the market’s creation. It resolves after the deadline on January 1, 2027, using Binance price data. PolySpotter is tracking $1,020 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from an 88% winner buying BTC upside.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,020.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

88% winner buying BTC upside

Sharp profitable wallet with an 88% historical win rate is buying Yes on a BTC $85k target while also positioning across related markets.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $187,886 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 34¢, implying a potential ~3x payout if Bitcoin hits $85k by end-2026.
This is part of a 3-market crypto thesis totaling $3,223, not a one-off bet.

$1,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%