Part of: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
This Polymarket prediction market covers the August 20 MLB matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for 12:40 PM ET. The market’s live odds and smart money activity are tracked on PolySpotter, with $9,544 in smart money and signals from bettors backing both teams. It resolves after the game is completed, or 50-50 if the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,271.
Categories: Games, MLB, baseball, Sports
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Cardinals buying cluster
Three wallets concentrated $9.5K on St. Louis, alongside a 94x volume spike and 15-point price rise, provide a meaningful but partly corroborated directional signal.
- Three wallets bought $9,544 of St. Louis Cardinals shares, with the latest entry at 58¢.
- The market saw a 94x historical volume spike and moved 15 percentage points higher in one day.
- Two wallets were adding to existing Cardinals positions; one has earned $1.56M lifetime, though the third wallet has a losing record.
$9,544 on St. Louis Cardinals
Sharp bettor adds to Reds
A proven 87% bettor is adding to a Cincinnati Reds position as five wallets deploy $15.4K, though the broader market has conflicting flow.
- This bettor wins 87% of trades, is up $106K, and has beaten implied odds by 31 percentage points.
- Five wallets bought Cincinnati for $15.4K, including a $7.7K purchase, while Reds odds fell to 38%.
- The sharpest wallet was adding to an existing $30K Reds position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine exit.
$15,407 on Cincinnati Reds
Sharp bettor scaling into Cardinals
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate added to a Cardinals position amid coordinated four-wallet buying, a massive volume spike, and a 15-point price rise.
- This bettor has won 92% of 12 resolved trades and is up $60,244, while typically entering around 51%.
- Four wallets bought the Cardinals for $22,586 combined as volume reached 126.8 times its historical average.
- The bettor added at 53¢ before the market rose to 62%, though the existing position means this is additional rather than entirely new conviction.
$5,000 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 92%
96% winner scaling into Reds
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to an existing Cincinnati Reds position at 50 cents.
- This bettor has won 43 of 45 resolved trades and is up $100,870 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,744 to an existing $9,487 Reds position at 50¢.
- The entry price is near even odds, while this bettor’s historical results show unusually strong edge relative to prices paid.
$4,744 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial bettor backs Cardinals
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader with 5,652 resolved bets is taking a fresh Cardinals position at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 72% of 5,652 resolved bets and is up $1.54 million.
- The wallet has traded across 480 events and 537 markets, indicating substantial repeat experience rather than a one-off wager.
- The Cardinals were bought at 51¢ while the market is essentially even, giving the position meaningful upside if their edge carries over.
$1,270 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial bettor backs Cardinals
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader with 5,652 resolved bets is taking a fresh Cardinals position at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 72% of 5,652 resolved bets and is up $1.54 million.
- The wallet has traded across 480 events and 537 markets, indicating substantial repeat experience rather than a one-off wager.
- The Cardinals were bought at 51¢ while the market is essentially even, giving the position meaningful upside if their edge carries over.
$1,306 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x1ab3...64af — Outcome 42211298, $40,817 (100% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 42211298, $31,343 (61% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 42211298, $27,701 (60% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 42211298, $18,790 (65% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 42211298, $10,204 (95% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — Outcome 42211298, $9,792 (59% win rate)
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 42211298, $2,937 (72% win rate)
- 0x6f2e...9d0b — Outcome 42211298, $2,778 (75% win rate)
- 0x3e04...564d — Outcome 42211298, $2,222 (83% win rate)
- 0x684b...8409 — Outcome 42211298, $1,962 (91% win rate)
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