Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,364.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

80% serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market sports trader with an 80% resolved-bet record bought Under amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 50 resolved trades at roughly even-money prices.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $1.1M deployed across 55 events and an 80% hit rate.
  • Market activity spiked 97x above its historical pace before kickoff, supporting the move into Under.

$8,600 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

Perfect-record bettor on Over

Sharp wallet with a 47/47 resolved record bought Over amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 47 of 47 resolved positions, with an average entry around 52¢.
  • They bought Over at 58¢, implying confidence that the Mexico–Ecuador match reaches at least 2 goals.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume nearly 97x its historical average before kickoff.

$1,450 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Serial sports bettor on Under

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 71% resolved win rate bought Under, alongside a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has traded across 42 events and wins 71% of resolved bets.
  • They bought Under at 43¢ shortly before kickoff, taking the less popular side.
  • Market activity spiked 97x versus its historical pace before the game.

$2,365 on Under | Wallet win rate: 71%

3-day bettor, 5-for-5

A 3-day-old wallet with a perfect early record and positive P&L is making another Over bet amid a sharp pre-game volume spike.

  • This new bettor has won all 5 resolved bets and is up $2,099 so far.
  • The wallet has already made 7 flagged positions in 3 days, totaling $12,752 in notable bets.
  • Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume running 130x above its historical average.

$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor Under cluster

High-score Under cluster led by a profitable 84% bettor, with four wallets buying about $10.1k at 45¢ amid a major event-volume spike.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $42,926 lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought about $10.1k of Under at 45¢, all pointing the same way.
  • Market volume is running 36x above normal, suggesting this is part of a broader pre-game positioning wave.

$10,098 on Under

86% serial sports bettor

A serial cross-market sports trader with an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $4,000 of Over at 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 132 resolved markets and is profitable overall.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $235k deployed across 50 events.
  • Entry at 60¢ suggests they see value on Over despite a liquid market.

$4,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable new-wallet whale

A very new wallet is repeatedly placing large bets and is already profitable, making this $6k Over position worth tracking despite the market’s decent liquidity.

  • This wallet is only 11 days old but has already made 15 flagged large bets totaling $120k.
  • Early results are positive: it is up $3.6k with 2 resolved wins so far.
  • The bettor bought Over at 60¢, implying confidence that Mexico and Ecuador combine for at least 2 goals.

$6,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven sharp buying Under

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit bought Under at 40¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded 425 markets across 246 events, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying Under at 40¢ goes against the current 60% Over price, suggesting they see value on a lower-scoring game.

$1,350 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3dfb...abaf Over, $230,000 (46% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Over, $86,063 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x02af...aaa9 Under, $84,776 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x35e2...9dcb Under, $71,429 (81% win rate)
  5. 0xa6d1...286a Under, $68,156 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x3af1...d739 Under, $55,813 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x8d06...7910 Over, $50,000 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x9243...658e Under, $49,189 (95% win rate)
  9. 0x3cf6...0cbd Under, $40,000 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x1341...0853 Over, $40,000 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Mexico and Ecuador draw

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Morocco wins low scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Türkiye wins two nil

Covers 5 related markets

Three goals, Sweden covers

Covers 6 related markets

Uruguay fails to beat Spain

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets$35,364 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
56¢
Under
45¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Ecuador
ECU
World Cup
Mexico
MEX
Polymarket: 56¢
Venue
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Price History — “Over
62¢
58¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$8,600 on Under at 43¢

43¢45¢2¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$1,450 on Over at 58¢

58¢56¢2¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$2,365 on Under at 43¢

43¢45¢2¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$1,500 on Over at 59¢

59¢56¢3¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$10,098 on Under at 45¢

45¢45¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$4,000 on Over at 60¢

60¢56¢4¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

1d ago

$6,000 on Over at 60¢

60¢56¢4¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$1,350 on Under at 40¢

40¢45¢5¢

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Mexico and Ecuador draw
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in…Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30…Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Team…Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5
Japan covers in three-goal game
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Argentina wins low scoring match
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Türkiye vs US match canceled
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Morocco wins low scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
Türkiye wins two nil
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st…Spread: United States (-2.5)Spread: United States (-1.5)
Three goals, Sweden covers
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5
Uruguay fails to beat Spain
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in …Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26…Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?