Part of: Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $265,001.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Sharp bought crashing Yes

High-scoring in-game soccer alert with a proven 94% bettor buying Yes, but price has moved sharply against the cluster and there is meaningful opposing No flow.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $3.1M bought Yes for $5.9K.
  • Six wallets put $39.4K on Yes, including one No sell that converts to a Yes bet.
  • This is high risk: Yes has crashed from their entries to 12¢, and another cluster is betting No.

$39,409 on Yes

Serial sports bettor on No

High-conviction one-sided No flow with a serial 76% sports bettor, a 5-wallet cluster, and a major price move from 74¢ to 88¢.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 2,593 resolved trades across 121 events.
  • Five wallets bought the same No side for $23.9K, pushing No sharply higher.
  • The trade entered at 74¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢, so it is only attractive below the suggested ceiling.

$1,095 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp wallets fading favorite

Surfaced because a very high-volume serial sports trader with an 85% win record is part of a 3-wallet move selling City after a sharp price run, though the trades appear to be exits from prior Yes positions.

  • One bettor in the cluster wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $66.8K lifetime across 2,168 markets.
  • Three wallets sold City Yes around 84–85¢ after the price jumped 9 points in a day.
  • This looks partly like profit-taking from earlier Yes entries, so the No signal is weaker than a fresh short.

$4,049 on No

Serial bettor chasing momentum

Surfaceable momentum trade: a profitable serial cross-market bettor bought into a sharp Yes move during a 21x volume spike, though the individual bet is modest in a very liquid market.

  • This bettor has traded 26 related events and is profitable overall, with 62% wins across 229 resolved bets.
  • Market activity spiked 21x above normal while Yes moved up 17 points, suggesting strong one-way momentum.
  • They bought Yes at 86¢, backing Manchester City as a heavy favorite despite the recent price run-up.

$1,476 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%

38-0 sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 38-0 resolved record bought Manchester City No despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 38 of 38 resolved bets and is up $107.6K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 74 events with a perfect resolved record so far.
  • Entry at 31¢ implies they see City failing to win as a roughly 3.2x opportunity.

$3,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Elite 88% win-rate bettor

Elite high-volume sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $2.6M profit is buying Manchester City Yes at 70¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 732 events with $6.8M in volume, showing a long repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 70¢ implies they still see value despite the market drifting down 7% today.

$4,453 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Elite sports sharp buying Yes

Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $1.1M lifetime profit bought Manchester City Yes despite recent price weakness.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $1.1M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 269 events with $2.1M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 69¢ comes after the price fell 8 points today, suggesting they see value on the dip.

$6,160 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

86% winner buying Yes

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 86% win rate and over $1.1M lifetime profit bought Man City Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded 268 related events with the same 86% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 69¢ comes as volume spikes 42x above normal before the match.

$1,386 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

7-wallet sharp No cluster

Seven wallets bought $151K of No into a major pre-match volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with an 86% resolved-bet win rate.

  • Seven wallets are all buying No, totaling $151K across 29 trades.
  • One bettor in the cluster wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • Market volume is 123x normal and Yes has already dropped 7 points today.

$151,145 on No

94% winner buying Yes

Elite 94% winning bettor with $260k profit is buying Man City Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $260k lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 55 events with the same 94% hit rate.
  • Market volume spiked over 1000x, and this sharp wallet bought Yes at 76¢.

$2,280 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1887...678a Outcome 82661164, $508,429 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xae2b...90ea Outcome 82661164, $38,445 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x966c...9b1a Outcome 82485559, $16,129 (58% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 82661164, $11,533 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 82661164, $10,901 (94% win rate)
  6. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 82661164, $10,000 (99% win rate)
  7. 0xe998...b7f0 Outcome 82485559, $5,974 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 82485559, $5,054
  9. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 82661164, $4,627 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x8f0b...eb6d Outcome 82485559, $4,527 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

ResolvedManchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC$265,001 tracked19 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 24, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
78¢
71¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$39,409 on Yes at 54¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$1,095 on No at 74¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$4,049 on No at 16¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$1,476 on Yes at 86¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$3,400 on No at 31¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$4,453 on Yes at 70¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$6,160 on Yes at 69¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$1,386 on Yes at 69¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$151,145 on No at 31¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$2,280 on Yes at 76¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$2,660 on Yes at 76¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$4,560 on Yes at 76¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$6,080 on Yes at 76¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

3d ago

$2,695 on Yes at 77¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

3d ago

$5,878 on Yes at 76¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

1d ago

$18,548 on Yes at 34¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

4d ago

$2,194 on Yes at 70¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

5d ago

$4,202 on Yes at 66¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

7d ago

$3,332 on Yes at 72¢

Related Theses