Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

This event refers to Game 4 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Tampa Bay Rays or Cleveland Guardians. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,957.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball, MLB Playoffs

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor with multi-market game exposure

A highly profitable bettor with a strong 209-bet record is making a $2,500 No wager alongside substantial activity across related game markets.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 209 resolved bets and is up $276,212 lifetime.
  • They have traded three markets tied to this game, with $10,150 in related activity.
  • The $2,500 No position was entered at 63¢, near the current 60¢ odds.

$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial trader adding to No

A profitable high-volume trader with an 80% record is adding to a $5,732 No position with another $3,000 in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 266 resolved trades and is up $139,149 overall.
  • They added $3,000 to an existing No position worth $5,732 in a market with $3,585 liquidity.
  • The trade was entered at 61¢ for No, though the current price has eased to 58¢.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven 95% winner adding to No

A highly profitable bettor with 95% wins across 241 resolved positions is adding $2,000 to an existing No position in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 230 of 241 resolved positions and is up $56,883.
  • They added $2,000 to an existing No position at 60¢ in a market with $8,160 in 24-hour volume.

$1,760 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

89% winner backs first-inning No

A proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $155k profit is making a sizable No bet in a relatively thin first-inning market.

  • This bettor has won 55 of 62 resolved positions and is up $155,292.
  • They put $1,698 on No at 60¢ in a market with just $8,160 in volume.
  • The trader has also positioned across 73 events, suggesting a sustained cross-market track record.

$1,698 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Proven 95% winner adding to No

A highly profitable bettor with 95% wins across 241 resolved positions is adding $2,000 to an existing No position in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 230 of 241 resolved positions and is up $56,883.
  • They added $2,000 to an existing No position at 60¢ in a market with $8,160 in 24-hour volume.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4f0e...0200 — No, $5,732 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x92b5...fec6 — No, $4,316 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x9e53...53ae — No, $2,829 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x032e...2a9e — No, $840 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x27f6...400b — No, $614
  6. 0x1fb4...c2c4 — No, $256
  7. 0xffd8...e336 — No, $138
  8. 0x9d5b...1578 — No, $75
  9. 0x9c76...c926 — No, $49 (92% win rate)
  10. 0xb2d1...ab31 — No, $43

Related Theses

Dodgers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians$10,957 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseballMLB Playoffs
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This event refers to Game 4 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Tampa Bay Rays or Cleveland Guardians. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TB
0
98-64
Final
CLE
0
85-77
Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland

Notable Trades

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-17 23:36 UTC

$2,500 on No at 63¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-17 17:17 UTC

$3,000 on No at 61¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-17 11:39 UTC

$1,760 on No at 60¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-17 00:17 UTC

$1,698 on No at 60¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

2026-10-17 00:13 UTC

$2,000 on No at 60¢

Related Theses