Part of: Austria vs. Jordan
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $971,309.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
80% winner caught move
Sharp 80% lifetime winner bought nearly $10k of Yes at 90¢ before the market moved to 100%, supported by a major volume spike and serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $32,953 lifetime.
- They put nearly $10k on Yes at 90¢ before the market moved to 100%.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with activity across 46 events and $179k in similar bets.
$9,967 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
New repeat wallet hit 88¢
A brand-new repeat wallet bought Austria Yes at 88¢ before the market moved to 100¢, alongside a major volume spike.
- A 1-day-old wallet has now had $6.6k in flagged bets, showing repeat high-conviction activity early.
- Bought Yes at 88¢ before the market moved to 100¢, locking in a fast mark-to-market gain.
- The market saw a 31.7x volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$2,841 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
34-wallet Yes surge
Strong one-sided flow into Austria Yes, led by a repeat new whale and 34-wallet coordinated buying alongside a major price move.
- 34 wallets are all betting Austria the same way, totaling about $361K in Yes-side flow.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 26 times with $255K in notable bets despite being only 8 days old.
- The market moved sharply toward Yes, up 22 points in a day and now trading around 94¢.
$11,322 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
34-wallet Yes surge
High-conviction coordinated Yes flow: 34 wallets bought the same side for $360k, driving Austria from 39¢ to 94¢ with a new repeat wallet participating.
- 34 wallets bought the same side for $360k, including 5 linked wallets sharing a funder.
- The price ripped from 39¢ to 94¢ after the flow, a huge move backed by a 56.8x volume spike.
- This new 1-day-old wallet has already made 6 positions and is up $2,080, but the trade is no longer attractive above the original entry zone.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Million-profit sharp joins No wave
A highly profitable 78% winner bought No alongside a 27-wallet, $230k one-sided wave and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.42M lifetime.
- 27 wallets are all buying No, totaling $230,867 in the same direction.
- No has already moved from the bettor’s 37¢ entry to about 62¢, so this looks sharp but late to chase.
$63,961 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
37-wallet No surge
Despite the featured wallet’s poor history, 37 wallets put $210k on No amid a major volume spike and large price swings, making the coordinated flow worth monitoring.
- 37 wallets are all betting No, totaling about $210k on the same side.
- Trading volume spiked nearly 70x versus normal as the market moved sharply.
- The featured bettor is not proven, but the crowd move is large enough to watch.
$14,538 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%
93% winner buying dip
Sharp 93% win-rate cross-market trader bought Austria Yes alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike despite the price pulling back.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $54.8K lifetime.
- 8 wallets bought the same side, totaling $86.3K on Austria Yes.
- The market saw a 25x volume spike, and the bettor entered at 49¢ while Yes is now around 44¢.
$2,175 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
83% serial sports sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with an 83% resolved win rate is buying Austria Yes near game time amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $146K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events, with the same 83% win rate over 230 resolved bets.
- Bought Austria Yes at 70¢ during a 44x pre-event volume spike.
$4,777 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Million-profit sharp joins No wave
A highly profitable 78% winner bought No alongside a 27-wallet, $230k one-sided wave and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.42M lifetime.
- 27 wallets are all buying No, totaling $230,867 in the same direction.
- No has already moved from the bettor’s 37¢ entry to about 62¢, so this looks sharp but late to chase.
$1,819 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
27-wallet No surge
Surfaced because 27 wallets have pushed a large one-sided No position with a major volume spike and sharp price move against Austria.
- 27 wallets are all betting against Austria, totaling about $231K on No.
- The market has seen a 49x volume spike, and Austria’s odds are down 33 points in the last day.
- This new wallet joined the same No-side flow with about $2.7K shortly after being created.
$2,692 on No | Wallet win rate: 32%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10305824, $479,558
- 0x4761...5ae8 — Outcome 10305824, $232,585 (71% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — Outcome 10305824, $106,461 (94% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 10305824, $100,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 10305824, $40,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 10305824, $40,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 10305824, $40,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x3561...d87c — Outcome 10305824, $33,040 (88% win rate)
- 0x14b9...f378 — Outcome 10305824, $17,828 (59% win rate)
- 0x7767...4fb2 — Outcome 10305824, $13,781 (92% win rate)
Related Theses
Türkiye avoids defeat
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Brazil-Japan match will happen
Covers 3 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
Türkiye-US match gets played
Covers 3 related markets
Japan-Sweden match will happen
Covers 3 related markets
Spain loses; France or Argentina triumph
Covers 3 related markets
