Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,489.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite bettors converging on Aurora
Six wallets deployed $37,400 on Aurora, including several highly profitable bettors, while the price subsequently rose from roughly 50-63% to 77%.
- Six wallets bought $37,400 of Aurora, including bettors with 95%, 96%, and 98% win rates.
- The strongest positions entered around 50-59%, and Aurora has since climbed to 77%, indicating substantial market confirmation.
- A 46.9x volume spike and concentrated buying suggest unusually strong pre-match conviction.
$48,462 on Aurora
Six-wallet Liquid conviction cluster
A serial cross-market bettor with a 66% win rate added to a large Team Liquid position alongside five other wallets during a major volume spike, though the trade has since moved sharply against them.
- Six wallets bought Team Liquid for $38,154 during a 46.9x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 550 resolved trades and is up $487,114 lifetime.
- The wallet added to an existing $19,652 Liquid position, but its 42¢ entry has fallen to roughly 23¢.
$1,500 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 66%
96% winner backs Aurora with coordinated flow
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate bought Aurora at 50%, alongside four other one-sided wallets, and the price has since risen to 74%.
- This bettor has won 830 of 869 resolved positions and earned about $1.44 million.
- Five wallets bought Aurora in the same direction for $33,900 total, including this $3,373 position.
- The entry was 50%, while Aurora now trades around 74%, indicating the bet has already moved strongly in its favor.
$3,373 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 96%
Six-wallet Liquid conviction cluster
Six wallets deployed $38,154 toward Team Liquid, including two highly profitable bettors, while an extreme volume spike and thin liquidity make the coordinated positioning notable despite the subsequent price decline.
- Six wallets bought Team Liquid for $38,154, an unusually large position relative to the market’s liquidity.
- Two major participants have strong long-term records: 66% wins with $487,114 profit and 73% wins with $220,585 profit.
- The trades averaged roughly 45¢ while Team Liquid now trades near 26¢, creating substantial upside if the group’s thesis is correct but also signaling meaningful adverse movement.
$38,154 on Team Liquid
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 21529631, $61,527 (65% win rate)
- 0xbb35...b62a — Outcome 21529631, $19,652 (66% win rate)
- 0xde24...4ded — Outcome 21529631, $5,459 (70% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — Outcome 21529631, $4,616 (54% win rate)
- 0xb6b8...149b — Outcome 21529631, $4,429 (57% win rate)
- 0xad69...7397 — Outcome 21529631, $4,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x31a4...7afc — Outcome 21529631, $4,000 (55% win rate)
- 0xdbaf...f5d1 — Outcome 21529631, $3,707 (92% win rate)
- 0x3308...f04b — Outcome 21529631, $2,925 (57% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 21529631, $2,456 (65% win rate)
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