Part of: World Cup Winner
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $416,462.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Profitable World Cup thesis
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is building a cross-market World Cup thesis, buying Germany at 4¢ despite this single trade being modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $154k lifetime.
- They have placed $27k across 6 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
- Entry at 4¢ is a long-shot position with large upside if Germany’s title odds improve.
$1,112 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
99% winner backs longshot
Surfacing because a highly profitable bettor with a 99% resolved win record bought Germany Yes despite the market being very liquid and otherwise quiet.
- This bettor has won 70 of 71 resolved trades and is up about $192K lifetime.
- They bought Germany at 5¢, a longshot price that pays roughly 20x if correct.
- The wallet’s edge is the main signal here, not market momentum; Germany’s odds have been mostly flat this week.
$2,160 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable World Cup specialist
Sharp profitable serial cross-market trader with a 76% resolved win rate is adding Germany World Cup exposure as part of a broader $196k event thesis.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.3M placed across 45 events and a strong record.
- This is part of a broader World Cup thesis across 5 markets totaling $196k.
$2,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Winning bettor's World Cup portfolio
A profitable 76% winner is building a broader $47k World Cup portfolio and added Germany at long-shot 5¢ odds.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $5.8k lifetime.
- They have placed $47k across 5 markets in the same World Cup event, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Germany at 5¢ offers a long-shot entry if their World Cup view is right.
$1,755 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Winning bettor's World Cup portfolio
A profitable 76% winner is building a broader $47k World Cup portfolio and added Germany at long-shot 5¢ odds.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $5.8k lifetime.
- They have placed $47k across 5 markets in the same World Cup event, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Germany at 5¢ offers a long-shot entry if their World Cup view is right.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable World Cup specialist
Sharp profitable serial cross-market trader with a 76% resolved win rate is adding Germany World Cup exposure as part of a broader $196k event thesis.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.3M placed across 45 events and a strong record.
- This is part of a broader World Cup thesis across 5 markets totaling $196k.
$4,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Proven sharp at 5¢
Sharp wallet with an 80% win rate and +$206k lifetime P&L is buying Germany World Cup Yes at 5¢ despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $206k lifetime.
- They have traded across 56 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 5¢ implies a long-shot position with about 20x payout if Germany wins.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor buying longshot
A profitable 77% winner with a strong edge record bought Germany Yes at 5¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the market being very liquid.
- This bettor has won 77% of 26 resolved bets and is profitable lifetime.
- They are buying a 5¢ longshot, implying a potential 20x payout if Germany wins.
- The wallet’s past bets beat market-implied odds by a wide margin, suggesting real selection edge.
$1,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
New cross-market whale
A very new repeat bettor is building a cross-market World Cup position, though the specific Germany buy is small relative to this highly liquid market.
- A 13-day-old wallet has now triggered 9 large-bet alerts, totaling $21.6k flagged.
- The wallet has put $20.5k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
- Entry at 5¢ implies a high-upside long shot if this view is right.
$2,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor buying longshot
Surface because the wallet has a strong verified track record, with 82% wins and positive P&L, even though the trade size is modest in a very liquid market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $9,265 lifetime.
- They bought Germany at 6¢, a longshot price with large upside if their edge is real.
- Their past wins came at much higher average odds than this, suggesting a selective bettor rather than a favorite-chaser.
$1,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 45484070, $52,325,990
- 0x37ee...f86f — Outcome 81739002, $4,579,638
- 0xa614...e553 — Outcome 81739002, $2,040,879 (55% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 81739002, $1,001,980 (95% win rate)
- 0x2663...ed1f — Outcome 81739002, $885,819 (35% win rate)
- 0x8d32...3e00 — Outcome 81739002, $793,669
- 0x0b0c...7992 — Outcome 81739002, $700,000
- 0x34d9...c8b1 — Outcome 81739002, $565,908 (0% win rate)
- 0x87c6...89b7 — Outcome 81739002, $535,942
- 0xc31d...4ebe — Outcome 81739002, $521,758 (52% win rate)
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