Part of: RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,414,256.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets fading favorite
Worth surfacing cautiously because two profitable bettors are involved, but much of the apparent No flow may be profit-taking from earlier Yes positions rather than fresh contrarian conviction.
- One wallet has won 84% of 826 resolved bets and is up $23.8k lifetime.
- Another active cross-market bettor wins 77% of 65 resolved bets and is up $30.3k.
- Caveat: two sells look like taking profit on earlier Yes positions, so the No signal is weaker than the cluster suggests.
$4,586 on No
84% winner caught move
A proven profitable sports bettor sold No before a sharp move toward Yes, despite the alert's modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $18K lifetime.
- They sold No at 53¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 47¢, before Yes moved to 68¢.
- The market has surged 23 points today with heavy volume, supporting the direction of the trade.
$1,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
83% winner backing Monaco
Sharp sports wallet with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying AS Monaco to win after a rapid move against No.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $23K lifetime.
- They sold No at 53¢, equivalent to buying Monaco Yes at 47¢.
- The trade came during a fast 25-point drop in No, matching a strong move toward Monaco.
$1,210 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable last-minute sports whale
A highly profitable repeat new wallet placed $183k on Monaco Yes at 50¢ in the final minute, moving the market to 68¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor is up $4.75M and has won all 5 resolved bets so far.
- They bought $183k of Yes at 50¢ in the final minute before resolution.
- The market jumped 16 points to 68¢ after the trade, with 24h volume 23x above normal.
$182,954 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven sharp fading favorite
A highly profitable 77% lifetime bettor sold Yes into a sharp price rally, effectively fading Monaco at 34¢ No despite this being a position exit rather than a fresh standalone buy.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 212 events with $1.57M traded and the same 77% hit rate.
- The sale came after Yes jumped 22% in a day, effectively taking the other side at 34¢ No.
$1,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable last-minute No push
High-conviction live sports alert: a profitable serial last-minute bettor joined a $111k four-wallet push buying No minutes before resolution.
- This bettor is up $146k lifetime and has made 28 near-resolution bets across 26 markets.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $111k total in the final minutes.
- The entry at 51¢ bets that Monaco will not win, with only minutes left in the match.
$15,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
39-0 sharp backs No
A highly profitable 39-0 bettor and two other wallets put $89k on Monaco not to win amid a massive pre-event volume spike.
- The lead bettor has won 39 of 39 resolved bets and is up $1.9M lifetime.
- Three wallets put $89k on Monaco not to win, with the biggest wallet adding over $79k at 51¢.
- Market volume spiked 2,750x versus its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.
$89,196 on No
Profitable new whale buying Yes
A highly profitable 19-day-old whale is putting over $1M on Monaco Yes at even odds amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This 19-day-old wallet is already up $4.75M and has repeatedly made large flagged bets.
- It bought over $1.05M of Yes around 49–50¢, showing heavy conviction at even odds.
- Market volume is 2,750x above normal, and Yes has moved up 12 points this week.
$1,054,933 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Elite 75% sports bettor
Elite profitable sports bettor bought Monaco Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $19.2M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $10M deployed across 216 events.
- Market volume spiked 2,581x, and the bettor entered Yes at 47¢ before it moved to 50¢.
$2,467 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable new whale on Yes
A very profitable 19-day-old wallet is making a $1.05M concentrated BUY on Monaco Yes amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This 19-day-old wallet has already made $4.75M profit and is now putting $1.05M on Yes.
- The wallet has been repeatedly flagged for large bets, with $18.1M total flagged across 377 prior alerts.
- Market volume is exploding, with a 2581x spike versus the historical average and Yes up 14 points this week.
$1,053,299 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa136...97de — Outcome 68126774, $3,094,177 (100% win rate)
- 0x0792...b778 — Outcome 10992562, $188,235 (100% win rate)
- 0x7d86...55eb — Outcome 68126774, $9,370
- 0xd684...f320 — Outcome 68126774, $8,860 (47% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 68126774, $6,359 (72% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 68126774, $5,503 (75% win rate)
- 0x7fcf...80ac — Outcome 68126774, $4,902 (58% win rate)
- 0x635e...0438 — Outcome 68126774, $1,712
- 0x7702...9791 — Outcome 68126774, $1,490 (64% win rate)
- 0xf439...bf9c — Outcome 68126774, $900 (68% win rate)
