Part of: Norway vs. France - Player Props
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,655.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
New profitable sports whale
Very new wallet with early profits is repeatedly making meaningful sports bets, adding $3.1k on Mbappé to score despite the market moving against the entry.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but is already up $1,873 across early resolved bets.
- It has now been flagged 4 times, with about $6,030 in notable positions.
- The bettor bought Yes around 36¢, implying a goal probability above the current 30¢ market price.
$3,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Elite 88% winner buying Yes
A highly profitable 88% winner with extensive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score at 40¢ despite the market now trading lower.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $707K lifetime.
- They have traded 307 related markets across 243 events, showing a long repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they saw Mbappé scoring as meaningfully underpriced.
$2,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
97% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and +$60k P&L bought Mbappé to score despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
- This bettor has won 56 of 58 resolved trades and is up about $60k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 59¢, showing conviction even though the market is now around 42¢.
- Entry implies a strong view that Mbappé’s goal odds are being underpriced.
$1,478 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
79% winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 79% record and positive P&L bought No on Mbappé scoring, and the market has already moved strongly in their favor.
- This bettor has won 79% of resolved bets and is up $2.9K lifetime.
- They bought No at 46¢, and the market has already moved to about 58¢.
- Their historical bets beat implied odds by 29 percentage points on average.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
97% winner in Yes cluster
A highly profitable 97% winner joined a 3-wallet, $9.9k one-sided buy on Mbappé to score, making the Yes side worth surfacing despite mixed records from the other wallets.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades is buying Yes and is up $60k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $9.9k on the same side, all backing Mbappé to score.
- Entry around 58¢ implies they see value above the current 56¢ market price.
$9,910 on Yes
95% win-rate prop sharp
Surface this: a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score despite only modest bet size.
- This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- The market saw a 48x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind this goal-scorer prop.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% winner buying Yes
Despite the low strategy score, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet is buying Yes on Mbappé to score.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $450K lifetime.
- They put $4.0K on Yes at about 56¢ in a liquid market.
- Entry around 56¢ implies they see value versus the current 55% market price.
$4,007 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% win-rate prop sharp
Surface this: a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score despite only modest bet size.
- This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- The market saw a 48x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind this goal-scorer prop.
$2,907 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
$8M-profit serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $8.16M lifetime P&L is buying No during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $8.16M lifetime across 791 resolved markets.
- They have traded 202 related events, suggesting a repeat sports-prop strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Market activity is surging 48x above its historical average before kickoff.
$1,235 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with $86k lifetime profit bought $4.1k of Mbappé Yes, including a highly favorable 30¢ fill now marked near 54¢.
- This bettor is up $86.5k lifetime and has traded across 32 events.
- They bought $4.1k of Yes, with one fill at 30¢ before the market moved to 54¢.
- The entry implies they saw meaningful upside on Mbappé scoring in a liquid World Cup prop.
$15,344 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x7804...7025 — Outcome 92436999, $110,162 (72% win rate)
- 0xa87d...e4bf — Outcome 92436999, $31,693 (61% win rate)
- 0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 92436999, $25,883 (98% win rate)
- 0xd3d3...bb8e — Outcome 92436999, $8,084 (50% win rate)
- 0x18e6...d83d — Outcome 92436999, $7,500 (100% win rate)
- 0x4c0a...a9be — Outcome 92436999, $7,100 (95% win rate)
- 0xd190...2650 — Outcome 92436999, $5,528 (88% win rate)
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Outcome 92436999, $5,255 (38% win rate)
- 0xfeeb...87b6 — Outcome 92436999, $4,806 (83% win rate)
- 0xb31b...d703 — Outcome 92436999, $3,852 (62% win rate)
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