Part of: Norway vs. France - Player Props

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,655.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

New profitable sports whale

Very new wallet with early profits is repeatedly making meaningful sports bets, adding $3.1k on Mbappé to score despite the market moving against the entry.

  • This wallet is only 1 day old but is already up $1,873 across early resolved bets.
  • It has now been flagged 4 times, with about $6,030 in notable positions.
  • The bettor bought Yes around 36¢, implying a goal probability above the current 30¢ market price.

$3,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Elite 88% winner buying Yes

A highly profitable 88% winner with extensive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score at 40¢ despite the market now trading lower.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $707K lifetime.
  • They have traded 307 related markets across 243 events, showing a long repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they saw Mbappé scoring as meaningfully underpriced.

$2,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

97% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and +$60k P&L bought Mbappé to score despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor has won 56 of 58 resolved trades and is up about $60k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 59¢, showing conviction even though the market is now around 42¢.
  • Entry implies a strong view that Mbappé’s goal odds are being underpriced.

$1,478 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

79% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 79% record and positive P&L bought No on Mbappé scoring, and the market has already moved strongly in their favor.

  • This bettor has won 79% of resolved bets and is up $2.9K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 46¢, and the market has already moved to about 58¢.
  • Their historical bets beat implied odds by 29 percentage points on average.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

97% winner in Yes cluster

A highly profitable 97% winner joined a 3-wallet, $9.9k one-sided buy on Mbappé to score, making the Yes side worth surfacing despite mixed records from the other wallets.

  • A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades is buying Yes and is up $60k lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $9.9k on the same side, all backing Mbappé to score.
  • Entry around 58¢ implies they see value above the current 56¢ market price.

$9,910 on Yes

95% win-rate prop sharp

Surface this: a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score despite only modest bet size.

  • This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
  • The market saw a 48x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind this goal-scorer prop.

$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% winner buying Yes

Despite the low strategy score, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet is buying Yes on Mbappé to score.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $450K lifetime.
  • They put $4.0K on Yes at about 56¢ in a liquid market.
  • Entry around 56¢ implies they see value versus the current 55% market price.

$4,007 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% win-rate prop sharp

Surface this: a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Mbappé to score despite only modest bet size.

  • This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
  • The market saw a 48x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind this goal-scorer prop.

$2,907 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

$8M-profit serial bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $8.16M lifetime P&L is buying No during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $8.16M lifetime across 791 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 202 related events, suggesting a repeat sports-prop strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Market activity is surging 48x above its historical average before kickoff.

$1,235 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with $86k lifetime profit bought $4.1k of Mbappé Yes, including a highly favorable 30¢ fill now marked near 54¢.

  • This bettor is up $86.5k lifetime and has traded across 32 events.
  • They bought $4.1k of Yes, with one fill at 30¢ before the market moved to 54¢.
  • The entry implies they saw meaningful upside on Mbappé scoring in a liquid World Cup prop.

$15,344 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7804...7025 Outcome 92436999, $110,162 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xa87d...e4bf Outcome 92436999, $31,693 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x85f0...3f67 Outcome 92436999, $25,883 (98% win rate)
  4. 0xd3d3...bb8e Outcome 92436999, $8,084 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x18e6...d83d Outcome 92436999, $7,500 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x4c0a...a9be Outcome 92436999, $7,100 (95% win rate)
  7. 0xd190...2650 Outcome 92436999, $5,528 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x93fb...3e4a Outcome 92436999, $5,255 (38% win rate)
  9. 0xfeeb...87b6 Outcome 92436999, $4,806 (83% win rate)
  10. 0xb31b...d703 Outcome 92436999, $3,852 (62% win rate)

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Braves beat Blue Jays decisively

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Argentina, France, or Spain wins

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Covers 1 related market

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Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

ResolvedNorway vs. France - Player Props$54,655 tracked13 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$3,080 on Yes at 36¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$2,016 on Yes at 40¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$1,478 on Yes at 59¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$2,000 on No at 46¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$9,910 on Yes at 58¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$1,100 on Yes at 57¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$4,007 on Yes at 56¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$2,907 on Yes at 57¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$1,235 on No at 44¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$15,344 on Yes at 39¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$4,119 on Yes at 39¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$6,409 on Yes at 52¢

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

5d ago

$1,049 on Yes at 54¢

Related Theses