UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $311,999.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

82% win-rate UFC bettor

A proven 82% win-rate sports trader bought before a sharp late price surge in this UFC market, adding a credible momentum signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $25.2k across 65 settled markets.
  • They trade this style often: 123 markets across 105 events, suggesting repeatable event-trading skill rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought at 85¢ before this side jumped to 94% in a market seeing a 169x volume spike.

$1,517 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% winner caught the move

A proven sharp sports-style trader with an 82% win rate bought Ethyn Ewing at 62¢ before a huge market-wide volume and price surge to 96%, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $883k across nearly 400 bets.
  • They bought Ethyn Ewing at 62¢ before the market surged to 96%, a massive move already in their favor.
  • This wallet has traded 55 events and over $1.0M across related markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,511 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor caught early move

A profitable bettor with a decent early edge bought Ethyn Ewing at 67¢ before a huge pre-fight volume surge and a 33-point move to 94¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and has been profitable overall.
  • They bought at 67¢ before the market jumped to 94%, locking in a 27-point move.
  • The market saw a 169x volume spike and a 33-point price surge, confirming strong one-way momentum.

$1,148 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 77%

New whale cluster on Rafael

Three wallets piled nearly $90k into Rafael Estevam during a massive pre-fight volume spike, including a 2-day-old repeat bettor making an $87k bet in a market with only about $10k of liquidity.

  • Three wallets all bought Rafael Estevam within minutes, totaling about $90k.
  • One 2-day-old wallet made an $87k bet at 49¢ after already being flagged 8 times.
  • This hit during a 348x volume spike and in a market with only about $10k of liquidity, showing strong conviction.

$90,187 on Rafael Estevam

Profitable new UFC whale

A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large bets, early profits, and a perfect 3-0 record just bought into a UFC side during an extreme pre-fight volume spike and fast price move.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times, bet about $40k, and is up $1.1k.
  • It has won all 3 resolved bets so far, with wins coming from low average entry prices around 36¢.
  • This buy came during a 348x volume spike and a fast 15.5-point move up, suggesting real conviction behind Ethyn Ewing.

$1,021 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 88%

New whale hammering Rafael

A 1-day-old wallet that has already made 20 large flagged bets just placed an $87k buy on Rafael Estevam during a massive pre-fight volume spike, suggesting unusually strong conviction.

  • A 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 20 large-bet alerts, with $461k total flagged activity.
  • This trader just put $87k on Rafael Estevam at 49¢, a very large position even in a market with $101k of liquidity.
  • Market volume is running 476x above normal, which suggests sharp money is showing up before the fight.

$87,096 on Rafael Estevam | Wallet win rate: 40%

99% win-rate sports bettor

A historically elite sports bettor with a 99% win rate and nearly $889k profit is buying into a fight market during a major volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 236 of 239 resolved trades and is up about $889k lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across 451 markets and still maintain a 99% hit rate, which is rare at roughly even-money prices.
  • They bought Ethyn Ewing at 52¢ as volume surged more than 291x above normal, suggesting strong conviction into the event.

$4,244 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 98%

New whale piles into Rafael

A 1-day-old wallet with repeated six-figure betting activity just put $94k on Rafael Estevam into a major pre-fight volume spike, signaling strong fresh conviction despite no track record yet.

  • A 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 20 large-bet alerts and put $94k on Rafael Estevam here.
  • The buys came at 48-49¢, so this bettor is treating Rafael as better than a coin flip.
  • Market activity exploded to 291x normal volume, and this wallet alone was nearly 70% of recent trading.

$94,450 on Rafael Estevam | Wallet win rate: 40%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 1-day-old wallet has already made 19 large flagged bets totaling roughly $374k and just put $7.4k on Rafael Estevam at 48¢, a repeat high-conviction pattern worth monitoring despite no proven track record yet.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 19 large-bet alerts totaling about $374k
  • The bettor just bought Rafael Estevam at 48¢, implying they think he wins more often than the market does
  • This is fresh conviction rather than profit-taking, with a $7.4k buy placed into an active fight market

$7,354 on Rafael Estevam | Wallet win rate: 40%

New whale repeat bettor

A 1-day-old wallet has already made 18 large flagged bets totaling $366.6k, and is now buying Rafael Estevam at 47¢, suggesting aggressive early-positioning worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 18 large-bet alerts totaling $366.6k
  • Bought Rafael Estevam at 47¢, slightly below the current 48¢ market price
  • The market is liquid, so this looks more like deliberate sizing than a random thin-market punt

$1,100 on Rafael Estevam | Wallet win rate: 40%

Related Theses

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UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Resolved$311,999 tracked15 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Ethyn Ewing" if Ethyn Ewing is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Estevam at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Estevam" if Rafael Estevam is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$1,517 on Ethyn Ewing at 85¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$1,511 on Ethyn Ewing at 62¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$1,148 on Ethyn Ewing at 67¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$90,187 on Rafael Estevam at 49¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$1,021 on Ethyn Ewing at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$87,096 on Rafael Estevam at 49¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$4,244 on Ethyn Ewing at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$94,450 on Rafael Estevam at 49¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$7,354 on Rafael Estevam at 48¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$1,100 on Rafael Estevam at 47¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$2,004 on Ethyn Ewing at 55¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$5,993 on Rafael Estevam at 47¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$10,852 on Ethyn Ewing at 55¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$1,555 on Rafael Estevam at 46¢

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

3d ago

$1,969 on Rafael Estevam at 46¢

Related Theses