Part of: Azerbaijan vs. San Marino

Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,131.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor caught move

Sharp sports bettor with an 84% record bought Azerbaijan Yes at 71¢ before a 17-point move to 90¢.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 296 bets and is up $10.5k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 71¢ before the market jumped to 90¢, suggesting they caught the move early.
The market has strong momentum, up 34.5 points this week with nearly $97k traded in 24h.

$3,857 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Perfect-record sports sharp

A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 41-0 resolved record and strong profit is buying Azerbaijan Yes at 75¢.

This bettor has won 41 of 41 resolved trades and is up $43,952 lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 44 events with a perfect resolved record.
Buying at 75¢ signals confidence despite the market already pricing Azerbaijan as the favorite.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Elite sports bettors cluster

Strong cluster on Azerbaijan Yes led by two highly profitable sports bettors, plus a 168x pre-event volume spike and one-sided buying.

Two bettors in this cluster have standout records: one is 41-0 with $43,952 profit, and another wins 91% with $38,260 profit.
Three wallets bought the same side for $10,657, all entering around 74–76¢.
Volume is 168x above normal before the match, suggesting this move has real momentum.

$10,657 on Yes

91% win-rate serial bettor

Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 91% resolved win record and positive lifetime P&L, making the Azerbaijan Yes buy worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $37.6k lifetime.
They have traded across 44 events with a 91% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
They bought Azerbaijan Yes at 75¢, while the market is now around 56¢.

$3,078 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

98% sports sharp buying Yes

Surface: a highly proven sports bettor with a 98% record and massive cross-market history is buying Azerbaijan Yes amid a major price breakout.

This bettor has won 98% of 1,124 resolved bets and is up $22.7K lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 161 events with $3.16M in total volume.
The Yes price has jumped from the low-50¢ range to 86¢, suggesting strong momentum behind this side.

$2,245 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Thin-market NO whale

A single bettor sold $4.5k of Yes on a very thin Azerbaijan match market, a large directional bet relative to liquidity despite no wallet track record.

A $4.5k bet is large for this market, with only about $260 of displayed liquidity.
The trader is effectively backing No at 50¢, meaning they see Azerbaijan as less likely to win than the market implies.
The order book is extremely thin and wide, so this looks like a conviction move rather than routine trading.

$4,512 on No | Wallet win rate: 22%

New whale on thin book

A 16-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets put nearly $4.8k on Yes in an extremely illiquid Azerbaijan market, suggesting high-conviction positioning despite no resolved track record yet.

A brand-new wallet has already made 13 large flagged bets totaling about $51.8k.
This $4.8k Yes buy dwarfs the market’s $233 liquidity and came in a book with almost no recent volume.
Entry at 53¢ implies they see Azerbaijan as better than a coin flip despite the market now showing 49¢.

$4,782 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 22%

Top Holders

0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 29323668, $5,883 (65% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 29323668, $2,278
0xec57...0fa7 — Outcome 29323668, $2,000 (52% win rate)
0x55ab...4f88 — Outcome 29323668, $1,321 (50% win rate)
0x3cec...d241 — Outcome 29323668, $1,250 (98% win rate)
0x60f6...a196 — Outcome 29323668, $1,000
0x08ca...7895 — Outcome 29323668, $649 (81% win rate)
0xbfdf...8e02 — Outcome 29323668, $474 (39% win rate)
0x66e7...8bcd — Outcome 29323668, $191
0x4d1c...8408 — Outcome 29323668, $158

Related Theses

Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09?

ResolvedAzerbaijan vs. San Marino$31,131 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 9, 2026 If Azerbaijan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.