Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40 PM ET, and resolves based on which team wins. PolySpotter tracks live Polymarket odds plus smart money activity; current metadata shows $7,726 in smart money tracked and 1 signal, including Mets-related buying cluster alerts. The listed resolution date is July 19, 2026, with special rules if the game is postponed, canceled, or ends in a tie.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,528.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

4-wallet linked buying cluster

Four-wallet one-sided buying, partial shared funding, a 34x volume spike, and a 15-point price move make this Boston side worth surfacing despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • Four wallets bought the same side for $7.7k, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The price jumped from the mid-30¢ range to about 50¢ during the buying.
  • Volume is running 34x above normal, suggesting this move is more than a routine bet.

$7,726 on Boston Red Sox

Profitable bettor joins Mets cluster

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Mets alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has $478K in lifetime profit across nearly $9.8M traded.
  • Four wallets bought the Mets the same way, totaling $12.7K in one-sided flow.
  • Their 51¢ entry is already ahead with Mets now around 57¢.

$1,884 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable serial sports trader sold Boston at 69¢ while broader one-sided flow and a volume spike favored the Mets, though the move has already largely played out.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 777 resolved bets and is up about $100k lifetime.
  • Four wallets bet the same way on the Mets, totaling about $12.7k.
  • The trade effectively backed the Mets at 31¢ before they moved to about 57¢.

$1,918 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0xabb8...bba3 Outcome 10862482, $59,646 (49% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 10862482, $20,000 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x5cae...a00a Outcome 10862482, $7,000 (69% win rate)
  4. 0x44a1...bd21 Outcome 10862482, $5,102 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 10862482, $3,000
  6. 0x5505...aa44 Outcome 10862482, $2,449
  7. 0x617b...a499 Outcome 10862482, $2,000 (47% win rate)
  8. 0x816b...d69d Outcome 10862482, $1,676 (72% win rate)
  9. 0x4ff7...2e67 Outcome 10862482, $1,258 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x815f...1eef Outcome 10862482, $1,072 (88% win rate)

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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

ResolvedBoston Red Sox vs. New York Mets$11,528 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BOS
3
46-48
Final
NYM
2
40-57
BOS -115NYM -105O/U 8
Venue
Citi Field, Queens
Attendance
37,638

Notable Trades

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

6d ago

$7,726 on Boston Red Sox at 45¢

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

6d ago

$1,884 on New York Mets at 51¢

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

6d ago

$1,918 on New York Mets at 31¢

Related Theses