Part of: Mavericks vs. Heat

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,101.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

98% winner adding to Heat position

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% record is adding to an existing Heat position at 47¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 42 of 43 resolved positions and is up $85,704.
  • They added $6,523 to an existing Heat position at 47¢.
  • Trading volume is 33.5 times its historical average, with the market near an even price.

$6,523 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly experienced, historically profitable trader placed a $7,566 Mavericks bet in a relatively low-volume market, though the market has substantial liquidity and the trade is not a strong standalone signal.

  • This trader is up $61.9M across more than 81,000 resolved bets.
  • The $7,566 Mavericks position is about 168% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • They bought Mavericks at 53¢; the market still has substantial liquidity, so the volume signal alone is modest.

$8,114 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 64%

Proven winners join Mavericks buying

Three wallets bought $16,024 of Mavericks, including two traders with exceptionally strong long-term records, alongside a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets put $16,024 behind Mavericks, including one with an 89% win rate across 3,453 resolved positions.
  • Another aligned bettor has won 269 of 270 resolved positions; the group entered around 53¢.
  • A 54× volume spike accompanied the buying, while the market is priced near 54¢ for Mavericks.

$19,898 on Mavericks

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly experienced, historically profitable trader placed a $7,566 Mavericks bet in a relatively low-volume market, though the market has substantial liquidity and the trade is not a strong standalone signal.

  • This trader is up $61.9M across more than 81,000 resolved bets.
  • The $7,566 Mavericks position is about 168% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • They bought Mavericks at 53¢; the market still has substantial liquidity, so the volume signal alone is modest.

$7,566 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1f3a...895d — Heat, $42,251 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xdbad...81aa — Heat, $13,879 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x885f...8ed9 — Heat, $13,468 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xad92...009a — Heat, $5,470 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x97c9...9ed4 — Heat, $5,000 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x4df3...788f — Heat, $4,948 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x0c84...a8ed — Heat, $4,174 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x8bcc...bb8e — Heat, $3,500 (96% win rate)
  9. 0xd48a...6e90 — Heat, $2,000 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x161a...4103 — Heat, $1,737 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

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Real Madrid wins by exactly two

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays dominate in a low-scoring win

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

Mavericks vs. Heat$42,101 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Heat
0¢
Mavericks
100¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DAL
113
2-2
Final
Kaseya Center
MIA
109
0-4
Draft Kings
Spread: MIA -7.5O/U: 240.5ML: +220/-270
Win Prob
—
Poly: 0¢
Last Play
—
Price History — “Mavericks”
55¢
52¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-26 17:58 UTC

$6,523 on Heat at 47¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-26 17:47 UTC

$8,114 on Mavericks at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-26 17:24 UTC

$19,898 on Mavericks at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-26 15:33 UTC

$7,566 on Mavericks at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Related Theses