Part of: Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz
This prediction market tracks whether Henrique Rocha or Hubert Hurkacz advances in their Cancun tennis match, scheduled for August 20, 2026. The market has $20,307 in tracked smart-money activity across three signals and is scheduled to resolve by August 27, 2026, once a winner is determined.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,237.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scales into Hurkacz
A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge added $7,000 to an existing Hubert Hurkacz position at 69 cents.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $37,983 lifetime.
- They added $7,000 to an existing Hurkacz position at 69¢, showing increased conviction.
- Hurkacz has since risen to roughly 80%, supporting the trade thesis.
$7,000 on Hubert Hurkacz | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp bettors scaling into Hurkacz
Three experienced bettors, including two highly profitable high-win-rate wallets, added $12.1K to Hurkacz alongside a major volume spike, though the price has already risen from roughly 69% to 80%.
- Three wallets added $12,143 to Hurkacz, with two showing 79% and 85% win rates and substantial profits.
- The bets came during a 51x volume spike, and all three traders increased existing Hurkacz positions.
- Most entries were around 68–71%, while the market has since moved to about 80%, signaling strong follow-through but limited remaining value.
$12,143 on Hubert Hurkacz
Sharp bettor backs the longshot
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Rocha position despite a sharp adverse repricing.
- This bettor has won 82% of 635 resolved bets and is up nearly $160,000.
- They typically outperform market-implied odds by about 30 percentage points and have traded 43 events.
- The Rocha position was bought at 37¢ but now trades near 20¢, making this a high-conviction contrarian position rather than a confirmed winning signal.
$1,164 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor scaling into Hurkacz
A proven, high-volume bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $3,930 to an existing Hubert Hurkacz position.
- This bettor wins 79% of 112 resolved trades and is up $111,413 lifetime.
- They added $3,930 to an existing Hurkacz position, signaling increased conviction rather than a one-off wager.
- The bet was placed at 68¢ while Hurkacz is currently priced around 72¢, implying meaningful upside if the edge is real.
$3,930 on Hubert Hurkacz | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 50860771, $28,314 (65% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 50860771, $9,554 (71% win rate)
- 0x5698...4a0f — Outcome 50860771, $4,470
- 0x3a14...9fe4 — Outcome 50860771, $2,354
- 0x6f2e...9d0b — Outcome 50860771, $2,059 (75% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 50860771, $1,587 (84% win rate)
- 0x9d3e...986c — Outcome 50860771, $1,574 (82% win rate)
- 0x9d5a...d0f0 — Outcome 50860771, $1,076 (81% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 50860771, $1,028 (65% win rate)
- 0x75a7...2d61 — Outcome 50860771, $929 (29% win rate)
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