Part of: Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

This prediction market tracks whether Henrique Rocha or Hubert Hurkacz advances in their Cancun tennis match, scheduled for August 20, 2026. The market has $20,307 in tracked smart-money activity across three signals and is scheduled to resolve by August 27, 2026, once a winner is determined.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,237.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scales into Hurkacz

A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge added $7,000 to an existing Hubert Hurkacz position at 69 cents.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $37,983 lifetime.
  • They added $7,000 to an existing Hurkacz position at 69¢, showing increased conviction.
  • Hurkacz has since risen to roughly 80%, supporting the trade thesis.

$7,000 on Hubert Hurkacz | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp bettors scaling into Hurkacz

Three experienced bettors, including two highly profitable high-win-rate wallets, added $12.1K to Hurkacz alongside a major volume spike, though the price has already risen from roughly 69% to 80%.

  • Three wallets added $12,143 to Hurkacz, with two showing 79% and 85% win rates and substantial profits.
  • The bets came during a 51x volume spike, and all three traders increased existing Hurkacz positions.
  • Most entries were around 68–71%, while the market has since moved to about 80%, signaling strong follow-through but limited remaining value.

$12,143 on Hubert Hurkacz

Sharp bettor backs the longshot

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Rocha position despite a sharp adverse repricing.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 635 resolved bets and is up nearly $160,000.
  • They typically outperform market-implied odds by about 30 percentage points and have traded 43 events.
  • The Rocha position was bought at 37¢ but now trades near 20¢, making this a high-conviction contrarian position rather than a confirmed winning signal.

$1,164 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor scaling into Hurkacz

A proven, high-volume bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $3,930 to an existing Hubert Hurkacz position.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 112 resolved trades and is up $111,413 lifetime.
  • They added $3,930 to an existing Hurkacz position, signaling increased conviction rather than a one-off wager.
  • The bet was placed at 68¢ while Hurkacz is currently priced around 72¢, implying meaningful upside if the edge is real.

$3,930 on Hubert Hurkacz | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 50860771, $28,314 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 50860771, $9,554 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x5698...4a0f Outcome 50860771, $4,470
  4. 0x3a14...9fe4 Outcome 50860771, $2,354
  5. 0x6f2e...9d0b Outcome 50860771, $2,059 (75% win rate)
  6. 0xeaf3...e802 Outcome 50860771, $1,587 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x9d3e...986c Outcome 50860771, $1,574 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x9d5a...d0f0 Outcome 50860771, $1,076 (81% win rate)
  9. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 50860771, $1,028 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x75a7...2d61 Outcome 50860771, $929 (29% win rate)

Related Theses

Struff will beat Burruchaga

Covers 1 related market

Saba Purtseladze will beat Rehberg

Covers 1 related market

Shelton Will Beat Nakashima

Covers 1 related market

Rio Noguchi will win Cancun

Covers 1 related market

Felipe Meligeni Alves will win

Covers 1 related market

Nicolas Kicker will defeat Thomas Faurel

Covers 1 related market

Dino Prizmic will beat Norrie

Covers 1 related market

Nicolas Mejia wins qualification match

Covers 1 related market

Brandon Nakashima will win

Covers 1 related market

Shelton wins the first set

Covers 1 related market

Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

3dCancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz$24,237 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Henrique Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Hubert Hurkacz
99¢
83¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

3d ago

$7,000 on Hubert Hurkacz at 69¢

Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

3d ago

$12,143 on Hubert Hurkacz at 69¢

Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

3d ago

$1,164 on Henrique Rocha at 37¢

Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkacz

3d ago

$3,930 on Hubert Hurkacz at 68¢

Related Theses