What is the Swiatek vs Navarro Bad Homburg Open prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which player, Iga Swiatek or Emma Navarro, will advance from their Bad Homburg Open match.

How does the Swiatek vs Navarro market resolve?

The market resolves to Iga Swiatek if she advances against Emma Navarro, and to Emma Navarro if Navarro advances against Swiatek. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, special resolution rules apply.

When is the Swiatek vs Navarro market scheduled to resolve?

The listed resolution date is July 1, 2026 at 13:30 UTC, though it may resolve sooner if the match winner is officially determined before then.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this match?

PolySpotter is tracking $7,552 in smart money activity for this market, including alerts such as a linked cluster backing Navarro, sharp buying on Iga, and a winner flip toward Iga.

Where can I follow Swiatek vs Navarro Polymarket odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and market-moving alerts for the Bad Homburg Open match.

Part of: Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro

Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro

This Polymarket market covers whether Iga Swiatek or Emma Navarro advances from their Bad Homburg Open tennis match, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $7,552 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts showing sharp buying on both Navarro and Iga and a winner flip toward Iga. The market is scheduled to resolve by July 1, 2026, or earlier once a winner is determined under the market rules.

31 smart money signals detected, totaling $345,997.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor caught move

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Emma Navarro at 79¢ just before the market moved to 100¢, alongside a sharp volume spike and rapid price impact.

This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across more than $93M in bets.
They bought $7.6K of Emma Navarro at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
The market saw a 40.7x volume spike and a 10-point move in under 5 minutes.

$7,552 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable momentum bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet bought $15.8k of Emma Navarro during an 88x volume spike and rapid 10-point price move.

This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 16,025 resolved trades.
They bought $15.8k of Navarro between 70–79¢ before the price jumped to 88¢.
The market saw an 88x volume spike and a 10-point move in under five minutes.

$13,487 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 53%

99% win-rate sports sharp

Elite 99% winning sports wallet bought Emma Navarro at 66¢ ahead of a major move to 88¢, with cross-market sharp history and a large pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.

This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $492,689 lifetime.
They bought Emma Navarro at 66¢ before the market moved to 88¢.
This wallet has traded 243 related events with a 99% win rate, suggesting a repeat sports edge.

$2,802 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 99%

Elite bettor chasing Navarro

Sharp tennis bettor with an 88% long-term win rate bought Emma Navarro before a fast move from 79¢ to 88¢ amid a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $285K lifetime.
They bought Emma Navarro at 79¢ before the market moved to 88¢.
Volume spiked 88x normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.

$2,495 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 89%

Live tennis momentum surge

A large Navarro buy coincided with an 88x volume spike and rapid price move from 64¢ to 88¢, though the wallet itself has a poor lifetime P&L record.

Navarro was bought at 64¢ and quickly moved to 88¢, suggesting the trader caught a major live-market repricing.
Market activity spiked 88x above normal with 26 trades, adding support beyond one wallet’s bet.
The bettor is very active across sports markets, but their lifetime P&L is negative, so this is more of a momentum signal than a sharp-wallet copy.

$9,544 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable momentum bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet bought $15.8k of Emma Navarro during an 88x volume spike and rapid 10-point price move.

This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 16,025 resolved trades.
They bought $15.8k of Navarro between 70–79¢ before the price jumped to 88¢.
The market saw an 88x volume spike and a 10-point move in under five minutes.

$15,842 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial sports trader sold Swiatek before a sharp 10-point move against her, implying an early Navarro position at 39¢.

This bettor has traded 78 sports events and is up $37K lifetime across 231 resolved markets.
They effectively bought Emma Navarro at 39¢ before the market moved to about 52¢.
The trade coincided with a fast 10-point drop in Swiatek’s price, suggesting the move had momentum.

$2,899 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 61%

80% sharp buying Iga

Sharp 80% lifetime bettor with strong cross-market history bought Iga Swiatek, alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $58.7K lifetime.
They are a proven serial sports trader across 89 events with the same 80% win rate.
Four wallets bought Iga Swiatek the same way, totaling $10.7K during a 172x volume spike.

$1,092 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial sports trader sold Swiatek before a sharp 10-point move against her, implying an early Navarro position at 39¢.

This bettor has traded 78 sports events and is up $37K lifetime across 231 resolved markets.
They effectively bought Emma Navarro at 39¢ before the market moved to about 52¢.
The trade coincided with a fast 10-point drop in Swiatek’s price, suggesting the move had momentum.

$1,558 on Emma Navarro | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial sports bettor

High-scoring tennis alert from a profitable serial sports bettor, reinforced by 8-wallet one-sided buying and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 71% of 170 resolved trades and is up $184k lifetime.
Eight wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $32k on Swiatek.
Market volume spiked 223x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event conviction.

$2,000 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0x4be1...aa70 — Outcome 12580933, $94,209 (52% win rate)
0x55a1...db28 — Outcome 12580933, $35,453 (82% win rate)
0x4064...5f1e — Outcome 12580933, $13,935 (87% win rate)
0xa5eb...93bf — Outcome 12580933, $11,677 (71% win rate)
0x58d7...17e1 — Outcome 12580933, $10,160 (66% win rate)
0x7042...c72b — Outcome 12580933, $10,000 (78% win rate)
0x6157...9fb4 — Outcome 12580933, $9,901 (92% win rate)
0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 12580933, $7,432 (97% win rate)
0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 12580933, $6,000 (77% win rate)
0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 12580933, $5,515 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Iraq Norway goal fest

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium dominates Iran early

Covers 4 related markets

Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro

ResolvedBad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro$345,997 tracked31 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Emma Navarro in the Bad Homburg Open, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Emma Navarro. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Emma Navarro”