What is the Bitcoin all-time high by December 31, 2026 Polymarket about?

This market predicts whether Bitcoin will make a new all-time high on Binance’s BTC/USDT market by the end of December 31, 2026. A “Yes” outcome requires a Binance 1-minute candle high to exceed every previous BTC/USDT candle high recorded before that date.

How does this Bitcoin ATH market resolve?

The market resolves using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candlestick data. If any qualifying candle’s final “High” price is higher than all prior Binance BTC/USDT highs, the market resolves “Yes”; otherwise it resolves “No.”

When does the Bitcoin ATH by 2026 market end?

The market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027 UTC, after the December 31, 2026 deadline has passed and Binance candle data can be checked.

What are smart money traders doing in this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,909 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market. Recent alerts include several high-win-rate funded clusters and a sharp cluster backing “No.”

Where can I track Bitcoin ATH prediction market odds?

You can track this market’s Polymarket odds, smart money flows, and recent sharp activity on PolySpotter’s Bitcoin all-time-high by December 31, 2026 market page.

Part of: Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will set a new all-time high on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data by December 31, 2026. It resolves based on whether any qualifying candle high between the market’s start window and 11:59 PM ET on Dec. 31, 2026 exceeds all previous Binance BTC/USDT highs. PolySpotter is tracking $2,909 in smart money activity, with recent sharp alerts including funded winner clusters backing “No.”

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

22 smart money signals detected, totaling $152,117.

Categories: ATH, Bitcoin, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

102-0 sharp buys NO

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: a 102-0 profitable wallet is buying No and has related cross-market positioning despite only a moderate composite score.

This bettor is 102-0 on resolved markets and is up $53,425 lifetime.
They are positioning across 2 related markets with $8,888 total exposure.
Buying No at 90¢ suggests a conservative high-confidence bet with limited upside but a strong track record behind it.

$2,909 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

99% winner funded cluster

A highly profitable wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win record bought No at 90¢, and it belongs to an 18-wallet shared-funder cluster.

This bettor has won 103 of 104 resolved bets and is up $78.6K lifetime.
The wallet is part of an 18-wallet shared-funder cluster, suggesting repeat coordinated positioning.
They bought No at 90¢, implying high confidence that current Yes odds are still too expensive.

$1,899 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% winner in funded cluster

A highly profitable 99% lifetime winner is buying No, with added support from an 18-wallet shared-funder cluster and cross-market positioning.

This bettor has won 99% of 104 resolved trades and is up $78.6K lifetime.
18 wallets share the same funder, suggesting a coordinated broader position behind this trade.
Buying No at 89¢ shows strong confidence that Bitcoin will not make a new all-time high by the deadline.

$4,315 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

102-0 bettor in funded cluster

High-scoring alert with an 18-wallet funded cluster and a bettor showing a 102-0 resolved record buying No on the 2026 BTC all-time-high market.

This bettor is 102-0 on resolved markets and is up $53K lifetime.
18 wallets sharing the same funder have put $8.6K behind this broader position.
Market volume spiked 107x versus normal, supporting a coordinated move toward No.

$1,883 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

99% winner funded cluster

A highly profitable 99% lifetime winner is buying No, with an 18-wallet shared-funder cluster and a major volume spike supporting the same positioning.

This bettor has won 103 of 104 resolved trades and is up $78.6K lifetime.
An 18-wallet shared-funder cluster is tied to this flow, pointing to coordinated conviction.
The market saw a 130x volume spike, and this wallet put $8.6K on No at 89¢.

$8,630 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

Perfect-record crypto bettor

Surfaced because the wallet has a perfect 102-0 resolved record with meaningful positive P&L, despite only a modest cross-market signal.

This bettor has won 102 resolved trades in a row and is up $53k lifetime.
They bought $3.8k of No at 89¢, adding to a broader $9.7k same-event view.
Entry is expensive, but the wallet’s track record makes the direction worth watching.

$3,767 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp cluster backs No

High-confidence No bet from a highly profitable wallet, reinforced by an 18-wallet funded cluster and a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 103 of 104 resolved trades and is up $78.6k lifetime.
18 wallets sharing the same funder are active on this thesis, with $5.3k tied to the cluster.
The market just saw a 102x volume spike, suggesting fresh coordinated interest in No.

$1,598 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% winner in funded cluster

Sharp wallet with 99% resolved win rate is buying No, supported by an 18-wallet funded cluster and a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 99% of resolved trades and is up $78.6K lifetime.
18 wallets share the same funder and have put $6.9K into this market direction.
Market activity spiked 260x above its historical average, suggesting fresh positioning.

$3,724 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% winner funded cluster

Surfacing because a highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet tied to an 18-wallet funded cluster is buying No on a large BTC market.

This bettor has won 103 of 104 resolved trades and is up $78.6K lifetime.
The wallet is part of an 18-wallet funded cluster, suggesting a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off bet.
They are buying No at 88¢ on a liquid BTC market, implying confidence that no new all-time high happens by the deadline.

$3,196 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

90% winner buying NO

Surface because a proven 90% winner with positive lifetime P&L is buying No, despite the alert itself being only a modest cross-market signal.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $2,336 lifetime.
They bought $4,400 of No at 88¢, adding to a $7,088 cross-market crypto thesis.
The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate position rather than a thin-market move.

$4,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%