Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Karmine Corp and CTBC Flying Oyster in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against CTBC Flying Oyster. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $166,238.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports, LoL Worlds 2026, Swiss Stage, Swiss Round 4
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors in a mixed-side cluster
The sizable CTBC flow includes traders with exceptional long-term records, but opposing Karmine bets and CTBC entries well above current odds make the directional signal mixed.
- Ten wallets put $53,769 on CTBC, including bettors with reported 99% and 88% win rates over substantial histories.
- The signal is mixed: ten wallets also bought $24,398 of Karmine, and several traders hold both outcomes.
- Some CTBC buys were made at 85–89¢ while current odds are 55¢, so the earlier entries have moved sharply against them.
$53,769 on CTBC Flying Oyster
Proven winner adding to position
A profitable 75%-win bettor with a substantial track record is adding $5,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position amid a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor has won 146 of 194 resolved trades and earned $225,274 in profit.
- They added $5,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position as market volume spiked sharply.
- Their historical average odds imply a meaningful edge, and this trade entered at 75¢.
$5,000 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 74%
Proven 79% bettor with volume spike
A proven bettor with a strong record and substantial cross-market activity placed a $1,390 bet amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of 169 resolved bets and is up $120,735.
- They placed $1,390 on Karmine Corp as market volume surged to 260 times its 24-hour average.
- The bettor has traded across 99 events, showing a sustained track record beyond this single match.
$1,390 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 80%
Whale adding to $190K position
A high-volume bettor added $92,257 to an existing $190,339 Karmine Corp position during a 616x pre-event volume spike, though their overall win rate is not strong evidence of an edge.
- This bettor added another $92,257 to an existing $190,339 Karmine Corp position.
- Trading volume spiked to 616 times its historical average across four markets in the event; the bettor’s 46% overall win rate is not a strong track record signal.
$92,257 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 46%
New bettor scaling into Karmine Corp
A very new wallet is repeatedly making sizable bets and added to its Karmine Corp position during an exceptional pre-event volume spike, though its track record is too small to establish an edge.
- This 2-day-old wallet has made three flagged large bets totaling $5,208 and is adding to its existing Karmine Corp position.
- The market saw a 259× volume spike versus its 24-hour average, though the wallet's 50% record is based on only two resolved bets.
$1,460 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial bettor adding to position
A highly active, profitable bettor added over $12,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position in a low-volume market, with a modest but substantial track record supporting the signal.
- This bettor is up $135,111 across 2,582 resolved bets, with a 60% win rate.
- They added about $12,400 to an existing Karmine Corp position; the trades averaged roughly 70¢ in a market with only $123 in 24-hour volume.
- The bettor has placed wagers across 373 events, though their long-term edge appears modest.
$12,362 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xdaef...54e9 — CTBC Flying Oyster, $40,640 (68% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — CTBC Flying Oyster, $36,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — CTBC Flying Oyster, $35,443 (63% win rate)
- 0xd3a0...f136 — CTBC Flying Oyster, $23,956 (92% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — CTBC Flying Oyster, $23,823 (53% win rate)
- 0x7523...4c4c — CTBC Flying Oyster, $20,000 (50% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — CTBC Flying Oyster, $20,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x6e2c...787c — CTBC Flying Oyster, $19,981 (62% win rate)
- 0xfe1a...a67f — CTBC Flying Oyster, $18,153 (50% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — CTBC Flying Oyster, $15,274 (40% win rate)
Related Theses
Team Liquid wins Games 1–4
Covers 4 related markets
Ninjas upset Weibo Gaming
Covers 4 related markets
FURIA wins despite two losses
Covers 3 related markets
JD Gaming sweeps Weibo
Covers 3 related markets
BNK FEARX upset T1
Covers 3 related markets
BNK forces bloody three-game series
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs beat Wolves comfortably
Covers 3 related markets
