Part of: Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,339.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable high-volume serial trader with a 66% win rate bought Grind Back at 49¢ before the market moved to 66¢, with clustering and cross-market signals adding conviction.

  • This bettor wins 66% of resolved trades and is up $501k lifetime on $5.1M staked.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 147 events, with $15.8k positioned across this event.
  • Bought Grind Back at 49¢ before it moved to 66¢, suggesting the market followed their side.

$2,223 on Grind Back | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp esports bettor buying dip

Sharp esports bettor with an 83% record and positive P&L bought OG, though the market has since moved against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $9.6K lifetime.
  • They bought OG at 74¢ in a liquid live Dota market, showing clear directional conviction.
  • OG has since fallen to 62¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp bettor paid.

$1,329 on OG | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable esports serial bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Grind Back at 34¢ ahead of a major volume spike and immediate move to 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 563 resolved bets and is up $233K lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $773K deployed across 179 related markets.
  • They bought Grind Back at 34¢ before the market moved to 42¢, suggesting early conviction.

$3,167 on Grind Back | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought OG before a sharp upward move, with same-event positioning suggesting a live Dota thesis.

  • This bettor is up $35.9k lifetime across 248 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 121 markets across 82 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • OG jumped from their 78¢ entry to 85¢ after a rapid 18.5-point move.

$3,220 on OG | Wallet win rate: 57%

Elite esports bettor buying favorite

Sharp esports bettor with a 78% win rate and $3.8M lifetime profit bought OG at 83%, alongside rapid upward price movement.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $3.8M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with over $8.3M bet across 1,019 markets.
  • OG moved up 18.5 percentage points in under 5 minutes, and this buy came before the price reached 85%.

$2,077 on OG | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable esports serial bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Grind Back at 34¢ ahead of a major volume spike and immediate move to 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 563 resolved bets and is up $233K lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $773K deployed across 179 related markets.
  • They bought Grind Back at 34¢ before the market moved to 42¢, suggesting early conviction.

$1,727 on Grind Back | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought OG before a sharp upward move, with same-event positioning suggesting a live Dota thesis.

  • This bettor is up $35.9k lifetime across 248 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 121 markets across 82 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • OG jumped from their 78¢ entry to 85¢ after a rapid 18.5-point move.

$3,005 on OG | Wallet win rate: 57%

98% win-rate esports sharp

Surface: elite esports bettor with a 98% win rate and $6.0M profit is buying OG at 63¢ while also trading multiple markets in the same event.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $6.0M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $12.0M placed across 237 events.
  • They have $40K positioned across 5 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$2,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable esports serial bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Grind Back at 34¢ ahead of a major volume spike and immediate move to 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 563 resolved bets and is up $233K lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $773K deployed across 179 related markets.
  • They bought Grind Back at 34¢ before the market moved to 42¢, suggesting early conviction.

$3,606 on Grind Back | Wallet win rate: 73%

93% winner on underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Grind Back at 20¢ amid a large volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $60K lifetime.
  • They bought Grind Back at 20¢, implying a 5x payout if the underdog wins Game 4.
  • Market activity spiked 30x above normal, adding momentum to the sharp-wallet signal.

$1,715 on Grind Back | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe59f...0d08 Outcome 11248287, $27,488 (86% win rate)
  2. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 11248287, $22,222 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x3413...8ff2 Outcome 11248287, $20,000 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 11248287, $20,000 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 11248287, $19,430 (91% win rate)
  6. 0xa41c...fade Outcome 11248287, $10,000 (56% win rate)
  7. 0xe52c...01f4 Outcome 11248287, $8,121 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x31a4...7afc Outcome 11248287, $6,529 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x5038...6236 Outcome 11248287, $5,000 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xc771...aae2 Outcome 11248287, $4,000

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between OG and Grind Back in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 23 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win Game 4 against Grind Back. This market will resolve to "Grind Back" if Grind Back win Game 4 against OG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$2,223 on Grind Back at 49¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$1,329 on OG at 74¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$3,167 on Grind Back at 34¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$3,220 on OG at 78¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$2,077 on OG at 83¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$1,727 on Grind Back at 34¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$3,005 on OG at 78¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$2,000 on OG at 63¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$3,606 on Grind Back at 34¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$1,715 on Grind Back at 20¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$1,490 on Grind Back at 44¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$3,951 on Grind Back at 34¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$11,821 on OG at 65¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$2,000 on OG at 63¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$3,000 on OG at 64¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$14,000 on OG at 64¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$11,000 on OG at 64¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$1,008 on OG at 64¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

8d ago

$1,000 on OG at 63¢

Related Theses