Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,876.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite serial bettor buying

A highly profitable serial sports/esports bettor with a 79% long-run win rate bought Karmine Corp after a sharp upward price move.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $3.8M lifetime.
They are a major serial cross-market trader, active across 630 events and $8.5M in tracked volume.
Karmine Corp jumped 22.5 percentage points in about 4 minutes, and this wallet bought at 58¢.

$2,391 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 79%

78% winner backing underdog

A proven profitable bettor with a 78% record across 100 resolved positions bought Team Liquid at 44¢ in a liquid esports handicap market.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $4.2K lifetime.
They bought Team Liquid at 44¢, implying they see value in the underdog side.
Their past bets beat market odds by about 30 points on average across 100 resolved positions.

$2,326 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 78%

78% winner buying underdog

A proven profitable bettor with a 78% record across 100 resolved positions is net buying Team Liquid at roughly 44¢ despite some intra-position trading.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $4.4K lifetime across 100 positions.
They are net buying Team Liquid around 44¢, implying they see value in the underdog handicap.
The wallet has beaten its average entry odds by about 30 percentage points historically.

$4,546 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 78%

96% winner in 3-wallet push

Surface because a 96% win-rate profitable wallet is buying alongside a 3-wallet one-sided push into Karmine Corp.

A bettor in this cluster wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $15.2k lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side within five minutes, totaling $6.1k at 56–57¢.
Entry near 56¢ implies they see Karmine Corp as a mispriced favorite.

$6,088 on Karmine Corp

78% winner buying underdog

A proven profitable bettor with a 78% record across 100 resolved positions is net buying Team Liquid at roughly 44¢ despite some intra-position trading.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $4.4K lifetime across 100 positions.
They are net buying Team Liquid around 44¢, implying they see value in the underdog handicap.
The wallet has beaten its average entry odds by about 30 percentage points historically.

$6,945 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 78%

91% winner buying KC

Sharp esports-focused wallet with a 91% win rate and strong cross-market history is buying Karmine Corp at 57¢.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $26.5K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 52 events with $233K+ deployed.
Entry at 57¢ suggests they see Karmine Corp covering -1.5 as underpriced.

$1,140 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable 75% bettor

A profitable bettor with a 75% record and positive edge is buying Karmine Corp despite only a modest signal score.

This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $2,210 lifetime.
Their wins came at average odds of 57%, suggesting they have beaten market prices by about 18 points.
They put $2,800 on Karmine Corp at 55¢ in a liquid esports market.

$2,800 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 75%

Elite 85% win-rate bettor

Elite wallet with an 85% win rate and $8.0M lifetime profit bought Team Liquid +1.5 at 43¢, supported by a long serial cross-market betting record.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $8.0M lifetime.
They have a huge cross-market track record: 505 markets across 345 events with $5.2M wagered.
Entry at 43¢ implies they see Team Liquid +1.5 as a better-than-market underdog spot.

$4,862 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 85%

88% winner backing underdog

A proven profitable bettor with an 88% record is buying Team Liquid at 41¢ in a liquid esports handicap market.

This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up $1,520 lifetime.
They are taking Team Liquid at 41¢, backing the underdog despite the market pricing Karmine Corp as favored.
The wallet has beaten average implied odds by a wide margin across 25 resolved positions.

$1,114 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved-bet win record and $90k profit is buying Karmine Corp at 60¢.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $90,412 lifetime.
They have traded across 39 events and 49 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
Entry at 60¢ implies they see Karmine Corp covering as meaningfully more likely than the market price.

$1,020 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0x6918...782b — Outcome 56715341, $34,090 (59% win rate)
0x1f03...b1be — Outcome 56715341, $13,000 (52% win rate)
0x57b4...b46b — Outcome 56715341, $12,537 (91% win rate)
0x7a0f...1305 — Outcome 56715341, $9,877 (92% win rate)
0x2f77...0b4a — Outcome 56715341, $5,061 (75% win rate)
0xf184...c2d7 — Outcome 56715341, $4,500 (100% win rate)
0x6b97...8d30 — Outcome 56715341, $4,500 (82% win rate)
0x7645...3117 — Outcome 56715341, $3,232 (51% win rate)
0x6e32...ab65 — Outcome 56715341, $2,955 (56% win rate)
0xd052...563d — Outcome 56715341, $2,679 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In$34,876 tracked11 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 2 or more games than Team Liquid in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Liquid". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Liquid”

102¢

71¢

40¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction