Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,230.

Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

Surface this because a highly active, profitable cross-market trader with 1,348 resolved bets is making another directional bet across a broad Bitcoin event complex.

  • This wallet has 1,348 resolved bets, wins 60% of the time, and is up $172k lifetime
  • They have traded 45 markets across 25 events, including 8 related markets in this same Bitcoin event
  • They bought No at 90¢ in a liquid market, signaling a high-confidence view that BTC is unlikely to hit $70k this month

$1,929 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

96% win-rate serial trader

A proven high-win-rate wallet with activity across 148 events bought No at 90¢ in a highly liquid BTC threshold market, making this a track-record-driven follow rather than a flow-driven signal.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 487 bets and has traded more than $4.1M across 148 events
  • They bought No at 90¢ in a liquid Bitcoin market, so this looks like a disciplined high-probability entry rather than a random whale bet
  • The market already prices Yes at just 10%, meaning this trader is leaning into a low-volatility path where they have consistently made money

$1,302 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xffc8...5671 Outcome 61164236, $29,527
  2. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 61164236, $18,408
  3. 0xe29e...f2c6 Outcome 61164236, $11,381
  4. 0x0042...321e Outcome 61164236, $9,799 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x2cce...6e85 Outcome 61164236, $9,604 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x3b59...58e6 Outcome 61164236, $6,451
  7. 0x3c35...feeb Outcome 61164236, $5,800
  8. 0xe119...e30f Outcome 61164236, $5,000 (75% win rate)
  9. 0xc131...f290 Outcome 61164236, $4,800 (64% win rate)
  10. 0xc9d7...d309 Outcome 61164236, $4,616 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

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Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

ResolvedWhat price will Bitcoin hit in April?$3,230 tracked2 signalsBitcoinMonthlyHit PriceCryptoCrypto PricesRecurring

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from the creation of this market to April 30, 11:59 PM ET), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Notable Trades

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

31d ago

$1,929 on No at 90¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

32d ago

$1,302 on No at 90¢

Related Theses