Part of: Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,554.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
88% winner fading favorite
A proven profitable sports bettor with an 88% win rate sold Sonego at 80¢ into a major pre-match volume spike, which is equivalent to buying Pedro Martinez at 20¢ before the market fully flipped.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $372k lifetime.
- They effectively bought Pedro Martinez at 20¢ by selling $16k of Sonego at 80¢.
- The market saw a 277x pre-event volume spike and then fully flipped to Martinez.
$16,000 on Pedro Martinez | Wallet win rate: 89%
88% win-rate tennis sharp
Profitable sharp wallet with an 88% hit rate put over $40k through a fast-moving tennis market during a huge volume spike, mostly building a Lorenzo Sonego position well below the current 90¢ price.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $372k, which makes the flow worth tracking.
- Most of the position was built in Lorenzo Sonego between 20¢ and 84¢, while the market now sits at 90¢ after a 28-point move.
- Volume ran 74x above normal during this burst, suggesting the trader was early to a major repricing.
$40,619 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 89%
88% win-rate tennis bettor
Profitable sharp wallet with an 88% win rate deployed $24.6k into Sonego during a 26x pre-match volume spike, creating a major odds dislocation that still leaves a copyable entry near 26¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $372k, making this a proven wallet worth tracking.
- They put $24.6k into Lorenzo Sonego during a 26x pre-match volume spike and helped drive a 29-point move.
- The market still offers Sonego around 26¢, close to this wallet’s blended entry and far below their biggest size at 84¢.
$24,619 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Three wallets aligned on Pedro Martinez, including two serial cross-market bettors with strong win rates, making a contrarian buy into a fast-moving tennis market.
- Two active bettors with 74-75% win rates both lined up on Pedro Martinez in the same window.
- They bought the underdog around 60-69¢ before the market collapsed to 24¢, showing clear conviction against a violent move.
- This is coordinated one-sided flow across 3 wallets, not a single random bet.
$4,685 on Pedro Martinez
88% win-rate sports bettor
A proven winning sports bettor bought Lorenzo Sonego at 42¢ just before a major market repricing to 76%, combining strong track record with clear price-discovery edge.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $372k overall
- They bought Lorenzo Sonego at 42¢, and the market quickly moved to 76¢ after the trade
- Market activity spiked 18x versus normal, suggesting sharp money piled in before the move
$8,644 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 89%
88% win-rate tennis bettor
A historically strong bettor with an 88% win rate put nearly $16k into Lorenzo Sonego during a sharp pre-match volume spike, moving the price down from 44¢ to 42¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $372k lifetime
- They bought nearly $16k of Lorenzo Sonego in 3 trades at 42-44¢ during a 42x volume spike
- Entry around 43¢ suggests they see Sonego as meaningfully undervalued versus the current market
$15,847 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 89%
88% win-rate tennis bettor
A high-win-rate bettor with strong realized profits put nearly $7.9k into Lorenzo Sonego, making this worth watching despite only moderate signal strength.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $372k lifetime.
- They put nearly $7.9k on Lorenzo Sonego across two buys, showing clear single-sided conviction.
- They paid 57-61¢, while Sonego now trades at 48¢, offering a cheaper follow price than the original entry.
$7,871 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 89%
88% win-rate bettor
A proven winning sports bettor with an 88% hit rate put nearly $4k on Sonego, and the market has already moved 5 points below their entry after a sharp short-term price swing.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $372k lifetime.
- They bought Lorenzo Sonego for nearly $4k at 61¢, showing clear single-bet conviction.
- The market moved quickly after the trade and now sits near 56¢, giving a better follow price than the original entry.
$3,980 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 89%
74% win-rate serial bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong 74% win rate and 961 resolved bets bought Lorenzo Sonego after a sharp move, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 74% of their trades across 961 resolved markets and is up $127k lifetime
- They have traded 211 markets across 127 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off punt
- Bought Lorenzo Sonego at 70¢ after a fast 10-point move, backing the favorite with a proven track record
$1,666 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp trio backing Sonego
Three wallets piled into Lorenzo Sonego, including two very active 74% win-rate bettors with six-figure scale, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the immediate adverse price move.
- Two high-volume bettors in this cluster win 74% of their bets, and one is up $127k across nearly $4.9M traded
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $5.8k behind Lorenzo Sonego together
- They paid 64¢ to 75¢ while the market now sits near 56¢, so this is only attractive to copy near the lower current price
$5,840 on Lorenzo Sonego
Top Holders
- 0x7879...3653 — Outcome 10096752, $15,366 (99% win rate)
- 0x6a87...3b66 — Outcome 10096752, $14,280
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10096752, $13,099 (73% win rate)
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 10096752, $5,929 (76% win rate)
- 0x6bb5...a518 — Outcome 10096752, $5,120 (44% win rate)
- 0xbbf3...aa3a — Outcome 10096752, $3,749 (62% win rate)
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 10096752, $2,591 (71% win rate)
- 0x397e...1200 — Outcome 10096752, $2,014 (43% win rate)
- 0x5444...bbda — Outcome 10096752, $988 (63% win rate)
- 0xc3a5...3f07 — Outcome 10096752, $970
Related Theses
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