Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $380,968.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
92% sharp buying underdog
A highly profitable 92% winner with a long cross-market track record is buying the Ruud underdog, backed by linked-wallet flow and a rapid price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
- They put $9.2K on Casper Ruud around 15¢ average, and the price has already moved to 20¢.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder, adding conviction behind the same Ruud position.
$9,163 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Fonseca amid a large pre-match volume spike and rapid price move, despite the market now offering a cheaper entry than their 87¢ fill.
- This bettor is up $8.7M lifetime across 1,373 resolved bets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $14.7M deployed across 329 events.
- Fonseca saw a 22x volume spike and rapid price move, and the market is now below this bettor’s 87¢ entry.
$8,675 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable sports whale
A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor bought $8.6k of Fonseca amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the position has since moved against them.
- This bettor is up $690k lifetime across more than 8,000 resolved bets.
- They put $8.6k on Fonseca during a 27x pre-match volume spike.
- Fonseca has drifted from their 88¢ entry to 80¢, offering a cheaper copy entry than the bettor got.
$8,570 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 53%
92% winner buying underdog
Elite sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $3.1M lifetime profit is buying the underdog at 18¢ alongside linked-wallet activity and fresh price momentum.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They bought $4.7K of the 18¢ underdog, implying a high-upside view against the current 82% favorite.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder, and Ruud’s price jumped 16 percentage points in 5 minutes.
$4,699 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 95%
98% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable 98% win-rate wallet bought $6.6k of Joao Fonseca, supported by a volume spike and rapid price move.
- This bettor has won 145 of 148 resolved positions and is up $35.9k lifetime.
- They bought $6.6k of Joao Fonseca at 83¢ despite a very liquid market, signaling strong conviction.
- Market volume spiked 11.2x and Fonseca moved up 12 points in 5 minutes.
$6,636 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable high-volume bettor
A highly profitable, high-volume bettor added $11.6k on Joao Fonseca during a sharp pre-event volume and price move, though the market is very liquid and the signals are moderate.
- This bettor is up about $690k lifetime across more than 8,000 resolved bets.
- They put $11.6k on Joao Fonseca as market activity spiked 11x above normal.
- The trade followed a fast 12-point move, suggesting they were leaning into momentum before the match.
$11,599 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 53%
Five-wallet Fonseca steam
Coordinated one-sided Fonseca buying, a 36.5x volume spike, and a 20-point price move make this a strong momentum/flow alert despite the market being liquid.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $26.6k on Joao Fonseca.
- Fonseca jumped from this bettor’s 54¢ entry to about 70¢, showing strong market follow-through.
- This wallet has traded $50.6M lifetime and is up about $690k overall.
$3,049 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 53%
90% sharp on Fonseca
A proven 90% win-rate bettor bought Joao Fonseca before a sharp move higher, alongside one-sided flow from seven wallets and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $228K lifetime.
- They bought Joao Fonseca at 57¢ before the market moved to 70¢.
- Seven wallets bought the same side for $34K during a 20x volume spike.
$2,000 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 92%
New repeat bettor joins Fonseca flow
High composite alert driven by a brand-new repeat large bettor and 7-wallet one-sided flow toward Joao Fonseca, though this wallet’s trade is partly an exit from a prior Casper Ruud position.
- 7 wallets have pushed the same way, with $34.3k flowing toward Joao Fonseca.
- This 12-hour-old wallet has already made $23k in flagged bets and is up $9.2k on two resolved trades.
- The trade effectively backs Fonseca at 71¢ after Ruud’s price fell sharply over the last day.
$5,408 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable serial trader on Fonseca
A highly active profitable tennis trader bought Fonseca before a sharp move, with 7-wallet same-side flow and a major volume spike confirming the direction.
- This bettor wins 69% of resolved bets and is up $286,909 lifetime across more than 31,000 results.
- Seven wallets bought Joao Fonseca in the same window, totaling $34,309 of one-sided flow.
- The entry was 54¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢ after a 19.9x volume spike.
$8,469 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Outcome 24073694, $108,042 (95% win rate)
- 0x19e2...ce3c — Outcome 24073694, $99,919 (46% win rate)
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 24073694, $90,357 (89% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 24073694, $47,401 (88% win rate)
- 0xc117...de2f — Outcome 24073694, $45,039 (91% win rate)
- 0x6b91...06c4 — Outcome 24073694, $36,070 (95% win rate)
- 0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 24073694, $17,500 (44% win rate)
- 0x1b73...8688 — Outcome 24073694, $11,862 (92% win rate)
- 0xcd36...a8ac — Outcome 24073694, $8,899 (58% win rate)
- 0x0a63...fc03 — Outcome 24073694, $8,475 (82% win rate)
Related Theses
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
Türkiye avoids defeat
Covers 3 related markets
