Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

38 smart money signals detected, totaling $466,989.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Linked cluster buying dog spread

A high-score coordinated cluster is pushing Cabo Verde on the spread with $45.6k of one-sided flow, linked wallets, sharp/profitable bettors, and a major price move already confirming the thesis.

  • 9 wallets put $45.6k on Cabo Verde, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • The move lines up with a sharp 85% bettor who is up $4.5k across 27 resolved bets.
  • Cabo Verde jumped about 15 points during the buying, while Spain is down roughly 47 points over the day.

$45,558 on Cabo Verde

94% winner backs favorite

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and strong profit bought $6.8k of Spain -1.5 despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $53k lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 71 events with $222k tracked volume.
  • A $6.8k buy at 79¢ adds conviction that Spain covers the -1.5 spread.

$3,078 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettor joins Spain cluster

Sharp profitable bettor with a 78% record is buying Spain alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets despite a major price drop.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $16,010 lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same Spain side for $21,039 total.
  • Entry at 27¢ implies about a 3.7x payout if Spain wins by 2+ goals.

$1,080 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial sports trader joined a small one-sided Spain cluster, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 300 resolved bets, 68% wins, and about $111K in profit.
  • Three wallets bought Spain in the same direction for about $9.2K total.
  • The entry was 51¢, but Spain has fallen to 26¢, so this is a high-risk contrarian follow.

$1,530 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 68%

88% winner backing Spain spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Spain -1.5 alongside one-sided flow across related markets.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $116.6K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 54 events with the same 88% hit rate.
  • Five wallets are buying the same side, totaling $14.1K on Spain -1.5.

$1,500 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 89%

92% winner joins Spain flow

A highly profitable 92% winner bought Spain alongside an 11-wallet one-sided flow during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $118,376 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 47 events with the same 92% hit rate.
  • 11 wallets have bought the same side for $422,408 during an 81x volume spike.

$6,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor joins 11-wallet wave

Sharp 86% lifetime winner is buying Spain -1.5 alongside a large 11-wallet one-sided wave and major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $26K lifetime.
  • 11 wallets have all bought Spain, totaling $422K in the same direction.
  • The bettor paid about 51¢, while Spain is now around 42¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original trade.

$9,934 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 90%

94% winner backs favorite

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and strong profit bought $6.8k of Spain -1.5 despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $53k lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 71 events with $222k tracked volume.
  • A $6.8k buy at 79¢ adds conviction that Spain covers the -1.5 spread.

$4,277 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 93%

95% winner joins Cabo flow

Sharp 95% winner exited Spain, equivalent to backing Cabo Verde, amid a strong six-wallet one-sided move and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $103,668 lifetime.
  • Six wallets have backed the same side for $67,177 total, pointing to strong one-sided flow.
  • Selling Spain at 52¢ is equivalent to backing Cabo Verde at 48¢; that side has already moved to 52¢.

$2,161 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp cluster buying underdog spread

Strong one-sided Cabo Verde flow is backed by two profitable bettors, including a 95% winner with a long serial cross-market record, and the market has already moved sharply toward their side.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $104k joined the Cabo Verde side.
  • Three wallets put $44k on Cabo Verde, helping move the price from around 40¢ to 48¢.
  • One wallet has traded 70 related events with a 95% hit rate, suggesting a strong cross-market sports edge.

$48,211 on Cabo Verde

Top Holders

  1. 0x2643...39ae Outcome 90801438, $763,897 (61% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 90801438, $94,357 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x9eaf...a3a1 Outcome 90801438, $42,831 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xae0f...f647 Outcome 90801438, $40,000 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 90801438, $28,037 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x2412...b5a1 Outcome 90801438, $24,993 (62% win rate)
  7. 0xee8e...0a7b Outcome 90801438, $20,000 (68% win rate)
  8. 0x0e5b...b940 Outcome 90801438, $20,000 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x5108...29cb Outcome 90801438, $19,610 (90% win rate)
  10. 0xfaa2...e80a Outcome 90801438, $14,931 (75% win rate)

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Spread: Spain (-1.5)

ResolvedSpain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets$466,989 tracked38 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$45,558 on Cabo Verde at 65¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$3,078 on Spain at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,080 on Spain at 27¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,530 on Spain at 51¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,500 on Spain at 54¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$6,000 on Spain at 52¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$9,934 on Spain at 51¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$4,277 on Spain at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$2,161 on Cabo Verde at 48¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$48,211 on Cabo Verde at 45¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,500 on Spain at 54¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$123,679 on Spain at 51¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$7,019 on Cabo Verde at 38¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$18,815 on Spain at 85¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$5,000 on Spain at 80¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$4,141 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,147 on Spain at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$2,131 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$2,000 on Spain at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,265 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$3,976 on Spain at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$2,011 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$99,826 on Spain at 56¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,595 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$6,840 on Spain at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,286 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,242 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,540 on Spain at 76¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,950 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,548 on Spain at 76¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

16d ago

$1,327 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

17d ago

$4,109 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

17d ago

$1,461 on Spain at 76¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

17d ago

$1,838 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

17d ago

$2,784 on Spain at 76¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

17d ago

$3,005 on Spain at 75¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

17d ago

$25,378 on Spain at 74¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

17d ago

$15,245 on Cabo Verde at 28¢

Related Theses