Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
38 smart money signals detected, totaling $466,989.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Linked cluster buying dog spread
A high-score coordinated cluster is pushing Cabo Verde on the spread with $45.6k of one-sided flow, linked wallets, sharp/profitable bettors, and a major price move already confirming the thesis.
- 9 wallets put $45.6k on Cabo Verde, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
- The move lines up with a sharp 85% bettor who is up $4.5k across 27 resolved bets.
- Cabo Verde jumped about 15 points during the buying, while Spain is down roughly 47 points over the day.
$45,558 on Cabo Verde
94% winner backs favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and strong profit bought $6.8k of Spain -1.5 despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $53k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 71 events with $222k tracked volume.
- A $6.8k buy at 79¢ adds conviction that Spain covers the -1.5 spread.
$3,078 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp bettor joins Spain cluster
Sharp profitable bettor with a 78% record is buying Spain alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets despite a major price drop.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $16,010 lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same Spain side for $21,039 total.
- Entry at 27¢ implies about a 3.7x payout if Spain wins by 2+ goals.
$1,080 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports trader joined a small one-sided Spain cluster, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has a long track record: 300 resolved bets, 68% wins, and about $111K in profit.
- Three wallets bought Spain in the same direction for about $9.2K total.
- The entry was 51¢, but Spain has fallen to 26¢, so this is a high-risk contrarian follow.
$1,530 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 69%
88% winner backing Spain spread
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Spain -1.5 alongside one-sided flow across related markets.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $116.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 54 events with the same 88% hit rate.
- Five wallets are buying the same side, totaling $14.1K on Spain -1.5.
$1,500 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner joins Spain flow
A highly profitable 92% winner bought Spain alongside an 11-wallet one-sided flow during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $118,376 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 47 events with the same 92% hit rate.
- 11 wallets have bought the same side for $422,408 during an 81x volume spike.
$6,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor joins 11-wallet wave
Sharp 86% lifetime winner is buying Spain -1.5 alongside a large 11-wallet one-sided wave and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $26K lifetime.
- 11 wallets have all bought Spain, totaling $422K in the same direction.
- The bettor paid about 51¢, while Spain is now around 42¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original trade.
$9,934 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 58%
95% winner joins Cabo flow
Sharp 95% winner exited Spain, equivalent to backing Cabo Verde, amid a strong six-wallet one-sided move and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $103,668 lifetime.
- Six wallets have backed the same side for $67,177 total, pointing to strong one-sided flow.
- Selling Spain at 52¢ is equivalent to backing Cabo Verde at 48¢; that side has already moved to 52¢.
$2,161 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 89%
94% winner backs favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and strong profit bought $6.8k of Spain -1.5 despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $53k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 71 events with $222k tracked volume.
- A $6.8k buy at 79¢ adds conviction that Spain covers the -1.5 spread.
$4,277 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp cluster buying underdog spread
Strong one-sided Cabo Verde flow is backed by two profitable bettors, including a 95% winner with a long serial cross-market record, and the market has already moved sharply toward their side.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $104k joined the Cabo Verde side.
- Three wallets put $44k on Cabo Verde, helping move the price from around 40¢ to 48¢.
- One wallet has traded 70 related events with a 95% hit rate, suggesting a strong cross-market sports edge.
$48,211 on Cabo Verde
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