Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,725.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New wallet catching big moves

A very new wallet is repeatedly making large esports bets and just bought Natus Vincere at 56¢ before a 28-point move to 100%, suggesting strong conviction with early signs of edge.

  • This wallet is only 20 hours old and has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with over $10.4k flagged
  • It bought Natus Vincere at 56¢ and the market later moved 28 points to 100¢
  • The wallet is 2 for 2 so far and up $9.6k, which is notable even on a tiny sample

$2,072 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

98% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp sports wallet with a 98% win rate and $309k profit just bought Team Spirit at 41¢, making this a notable copy-trade despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades (57 of 58) and is up $309k lifetime.
  • They have bet across 46 related markets and 39 events, which points to repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought Team Spirit at 41¢, implying they saw clear value versus the market even before it dropped to 26¢.

$1,201 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 89%

71% win-rate serial bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate made a fresh $1.6k buy on Natus Vincere, and despite poor immediate mark-to-market this wallet’s broad sample and repeat event pattern make it worth watching.

  • This bettor has won 729 of 1,031 resolved trades and is up $22.7k overall
  • They trade across many related markets with 32 events and nearly $50k deployed, which suggests a repeatable process
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 77¢, well above the current 56¢ price, so this is a conviction entry rather than routine profit-taking

$1,612 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%

98% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 98% win rate is buying Team Spirit alongside two other wallets during a coordinated volume spike, making this a strong signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 57 of 58 resolved trades and is up about $309k lifetime
  • Three wallets all bought Team Spirit for $7.1k total during a 34.6x volume spike
  • They entered at 40¢ while Team Spirit now trades at 38¢, so following is still near their price

$2,297 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 89%

3-wallet esports pile-in

Three wallets piled into Natus Vincere with $7.7k in coordinated flow, including one proven high-volume winner and a very active new wallet, making this a notable esports signal despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets bought Natus Vincere in a $7.7k burst, and the price moved about 10 points in just over 3 minutes
  • One of the bettors wins 71% of 1,031 resolved trades, giving this cluster at least one proven sharp participant
  • A 20-hour-old wallet has already been flagged 4 times and is trading across 36 markets with a 71% win rate, suggesting aggressive informed activity

$7,652 on Natus Vincere

96% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 96% win rate put nearly $20k on Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up about $976k lifetime.
  • They put nearly $20k on Natus Vincere at 47-48¢, implying they see the true odds above the market price.
  • This wallet has bet across 67 related markets and the market saw a 1508x volume spike when they entered.

$19,685 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable whale hits esports

A high-volume bettor with a large realized profit made a $34k buy on Natus Vincere at 47¢, dominating a sudden volume surge in this otherwise modest esports market.

  • This bettor is up $576k across more than 1,100 resolved trades, so this is not random flow.
  • The $34k buy was 212% of the market's 24-hour volume and likely drove the market's sudden activity.
  • Bought Natus Vincere at 47¢ while the market now sits around 48¢, showing meaningful conviction in a near coin-flip spot.

$34,205 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 16245679, $134,465 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 16245679, $25,626 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 16245679, $6,951 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x55d9...832c Outcome 16245679, $4,000 (87% win rate)
  5. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 16245679, $3,674 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x006a...14ed Outcome 16245679, $3,364 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x8310...8967 Outcome 16245679, $2,250 (93% win rate)
  8. 0xce08...510b Outcome 16245679, $1,665 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xd161...4cc1 Outcome 16245679, $1,621 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x9a8e...9408 Outcome 16245679, $1,615 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$68,725 tracked7 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

21d ago

$2,072 on Natus Vincere at 56¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

21d ago

$1,201 on Team Spirit at 41¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

21d ago

$1,612 on Natus Vincere at 77¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

21d ago

$2,297 on Team Spirit at 40¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

21d ago

$7,652 on Natus Vincere at 56¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

21d ago

$19,685 on Natus Vincere at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

21d ago

$34,205 on Natus Vincere at 47¢

Related Theses