Part of: England vs. Croatia - More Markets
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $204,329.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
97% winner joins Over cluster
A proven sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate is buying Over alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75 of 77 resolved positions and is up $51K lifetime.
- Eight wallets are all buying Over, with $27.5K in one-sided flow and some linked funding.
- The market is seeing a 32x pre-event volume spike, and Over has already moved up 4 points today.
$1,008 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
Perfect sports bettor joins cluster
A perfect 24-for-24 profitable bettor is buying Over alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 24 of 24 resolved bets and is up $19.6K lifetime.
- Eight wallets are all buying Over, totaling $27.5K, with two sharing a funder.
- Market volume is surging 32x above normal ahead of kickoff, and Over has already moved up 4 points today.
$1,946 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
8-wallet linked Over push
Strong coordinated flow: 8 wallets, including linked funding, bought Over into a major pre-game volume spike despite this wallet having no track record.
- 8 wallets are all buying Over, totaling $27.5K in the same direction.
- Two of the wallets share a funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than random flow.
- Market volume is 32x normal ahead of kickoff, with Over already moving up 4 points today.
$1,341 on Over
One-sided pre-match Under flow
Surfaced for coordinated pre-match flow into Under and Croatia despite the featured wallet’s weak long-term record.
- Nine wallets bought Under for about $26K while market activity spiked 37x above normal.
- The same bettor also bought Croatia, matching a low-scoring Croatia-leaning thesis across multiple markets.
- The wallet itself is down $1.15M lifetime, so the signal is the broader one-sided flow rather than this bettor’s track record.
$5,406 on Under | Wallet win rate: 45%
New profitable wallet joins Under cluster
High-conviction Under buy from a 1-day-old profitable wallet, backed by 9-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- Nine wallets are all betting Under, totaling $26K in the same direction.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already taken 7 positions and is up $899 so far.
- Market volume spiked 37x before the match, with Under bought around 53¢.
$4,567 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%
Five-wallet sharp Over cluster
Five-wallet Over cluster put $20.2k into the same side during a 10x volume spike, including multiple profitable bettors, though the price has already moved to 100%.
- Five wallets bought $20.2k of Over together, and the market has since moved from the 60s/70s to 100%.
- One buyer has a 90% record across 1,100 resolved bets, while another is up $631k lifetime.
- Volume spiked 10x versus normal activity, showing this was part of a broader rush into the same side.
$20,231 on Over
6-wallet Over surge
High composite alert driven by six-wallet one-sided Over buying and a major pre-event volume spike, despite only average wallet win rate.
- Six wallets are all buying the same side, with $68.6K flowing into Over.
- Volume is running 96.7x above the historical average before kickoff.
- Over has already moved up 4 points in the last day, matching the one-sided buying pressure.
$7,853 on Over | Wallet win rate: 51%
Sharp wallets buying Under dip
High-conviction Under flow from 11 wallets is worth surfacing, especially because at least one profitable sharp wallet bought much higher and later wallets kept adding near 35¢ despite the market moving against them.
- Eleven wallets put $32.8K on Under, including a bettor up $64K lifetime who paid 52¢.
- Several later trades added Under around 35¢ after a sharp price drop, suggesting continued conviction at a cheaper entry.
- The market is seeing a 14.6x volume spike and a 21-point daily move, so this is active pre-game positioning.
$32,765 on Under
4-wallet Over surge
High-scoring alert driven by $80.8k of one-sided Over buying across 4 wallets plus a major pre-event volume spike, with this fresh wallet repeatedly taking positions.
- Four wallets are all buying Over, totaling $80.8k in the same direction.
- Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume running 230x above its historical pace.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made 4 flagged bets, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
$1,008 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale joins Over cluster
High-conviction pre-game Over buy from a 6-day-old repeat whale, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike.
- A 6-day-old wallet bought $23k of Over and has already had $188k in large flagged bets.
- Four wallets are all buying Over, totaling about $81k in one-sided flow.
- Market volume is spiking 231x above its historical pace ahead of kickoff.
$23,082 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 37859860, $188,325 (92% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 37859860, $129,007 (77% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 37859860, $56,129 (79% win rate)
- 0x7aa1...e126 — Outcome 37859860, $46,300 (82% win rate)
- 0xa080...234f — Outcome 37859860, $40,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x20b9...4aff — Outcome 37859860, $39,394
- 0x1e77...8c33 — Outcome 37859860, $38,533 (77% win rate)
- 0xe405...c67e — Outcome 37859860, $22,142 (58% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 37859860, $20,499 (59% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 37859860, $20,000 (100% win rate)
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