Part of: Avalanche vs. Wild

Avalanche vs. Wild

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:00PM ET: If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $118,175.

Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey

Notable Trades

Sharp traders fading favorite

Four wallets are selling Avalanche after a sharp move to 90%, including a highly profitable 80% winner and serial cross-market traders, making this a notable contrarian Wild buy signal.

  • A bettor who wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $101.6K is fading Avalanche at 90¢.
  • Four wallets sold the same side for $17.2K after Avalanche jumped 36 points in a day.
  • Some of this is profit-taking, but the cluster points to a contrarian Wild position at roughly 10¢.

$17,242 on Wild

Profitable serial sports bettor

Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 70% win rate and $5.46M lifetime profit bought Avalanche despite the price later falling from 83% to 56%.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 789 resolved bets and is up $5.46M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 117 events with over $2.1M in flagged activity.
  • The original 83¢ entry was aggressive, though the market has since moved down to 56¢.

$1,222 on Avalanche | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Avalanche during a sharp 27-point move, though the market is liquid and the bet size is modest.

  • This bettor has a long record across 121 resolved bets, winning 59% and earning about $28.6K profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 46 events, suggesting an established sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Avalanche moved up 27 percentage points in under 4 minutes, and this buy joined that fast momentum at 57¢.

$2,000 on Avalanche | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active profitable sports bettor bought Avalanche aggressively enough to trigger a rapid price move, though the current market has since fallen well below their 84¢ entry.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 5,277 resolved bets, 55% wins, and about $203k in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.7M tracked across 476 events, suggesting systematic sports betting activity.
  • Their Avalanche buy helped drive a fast 27-point price jump, but the market is now much cheaper than their 84¢ entry.

$1,210 on Avalanche | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable 80% sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% record and $100k profit is buying Avalanche in a liquid NHL market, supported by a long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $100,612 lifetime.
  • They have traded 47 events across 54 markets, with an 80% record over 600 resolved bets.
  • Buying Avalanche at 57¢ suggests they see value despite the market already being very liquid.

$1,710 on Avalanche | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite sports sharp on underdog

Sharp high-volume sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $5.55M profit is buying Wild at 44¢ amid a pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $5.55M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.94M across 223 events and the same 86% win rate.
  • The $8.8K Wild buy comes as volume is running 12.7x above normal before puck drop.

$8,759 on Wild | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a long profitable record bought Wild at 46%, though the market has since moved against them to 40%.

  • This bettor has a large track record: 327 resolved bets, 58% winners, and about $656k in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.8M flagged across 154 events, suggesting an established sports-betting strategy.
  • They bought Wild at 46%, above the current 40%, so the same position is now available cheaper than their entry.

$4,140 on Wild | Wallet win rate: 58%

82% winner joins Avalanche cluster

Four-wallet Avalanche flow includes a highly profitable 82% winner with a large long-run edge, making the coordinated buy notable despite the price moving against their entries.

  • A bettor who wins 82% of resolved trades is backing Avalanche and is up $1.76M lifetime.
  • Four wallets put $6.6K on the same side, including one Wild sell that converts to buying Avalanche.
  • They entered around 54–57¢ while Avalanche is now 42–43¢, offering a cheaper follow entry than the sharp paid.

$6,568 on Avalanche

82% winner buying Avalanche

Sharp sports bettor with an 82% win rate and $1.76M lifetime profit bought Avalanche despite the market being highly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.76M lifetime.
  • They have traded 37 related sports events with the same 82% win rate.
  • Entry at 57¢ is above the current 54¢ market price, suggesting conviction on Avalanche.

$1,194 on Avalanche | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market history is buying Avalanche at 58¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor is up $405k across 905 resolved markets, with a 64% win rate.
  • They have traded across 46 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process.
  • Entry at 58¢ implies they see Avalanche as meaningfully better than the current market price.

$1,740 on Avalanche | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5bec...b215 Wild, $438,242 (52% win rate)
  2. 0xc807...c12b Avalanche, $215,905 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x84cf...2f63 Avalanche, $213,627 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x4f29...7a7e Wild, $46,225 (52% win rate)
  5. 0xe7e1...ec43 Wild, $40,000 (51% win rate)
  6. 0xeb8e...34ce Avalanche, $30,000 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x3625...1187 Avalanche, $27,273 (97% win rate)
  8. 0xe557...9597 Avalanche, $26,643
  9. 0xfed8...4388 Avalanche, $23,975 (70% win rate)
  10. 0xabb8...bba3 Wild, $22,727 (47% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Avalanche vs. Wild

ResolvedAvalanche vs. Wild$118,175 tracked15 signalsSportsNHLGamesHockey
Avalanche
100¢
Wild
0¢

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:00PM ET: If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

COL
5
55-16-11
Final
MIN
2
46-24-12
COL -155MIN +130O/U 6.5Polymarket: 100¢
Arena
Grand Casino Arena, Saint Paul
Price History — “Avalanche
59¢
56¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Avalanche vs. Wild

27m ago

$17,242 on Wild at 10¢

10¢0¢10¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

33m ago

$1,222 on Avalanche at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

41m ago

$2,000 on Avalanche at 57¢

57¢100¢43¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

33m ago

$1,210 on Avalanche at 84¢

84¢100¢16¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

57m ago

$1,710 on Avalanche at 57¢

57¢100¢43¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

1h ago

$8,759 on Wild at 44¢

44¢0¢44¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

1h ago

$4,140 on Wild at 46¢

46¢0¢46¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

2h ago

$6,568 on Avalanche at 54¢

54¢100¢46¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

2h ago

$1,194 on Avalanche at 57¢

57¢100¢43¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

2h ago

$1,740 on Avalanche at 58¢

58¢100¢42¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

3h ago

$2,562 on Avalanche at 58¢

58¢100¢42¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

9h ago

$1,100 on Wild at 44¢

44¢0¢44¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

12h ago

$26,050 on Wild at 44¢

44¢0¢44¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

45m ago

$27,678 on Avalanche at 56¢

56¢100¢44¢

Avalanche vs. Wild

23h ago

$15,000 on Avalanche at 55¢

55¢100¢45¢

Related Theses

Avalanche vs. Wild | PolySpotter