Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5
This Polymarket market predicts whether Spain and Cabo Verde will combine for 4 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 15 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to Over if the total is 4+ goals and Under if the total is 3 or fewer, with $8,933 in smart money tracked across 2 signals.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Cabo Verde, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Cabo Verde combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
28 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,287,186.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
99% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 78/79 resolved record is effectively buying Under 3.5 at even money despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 78 of 79 resolved trades and is up $159K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 99 events tracked and a 99% hit rate.
- Selling Over at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Under at 50¢ on a liquid soccer total.
$5,222 on Under | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite sports sharp on Over
Sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and $1.1M lifetime profit is effectively buying Over 3.5 at 52¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events with the same 89% win rate.
- Selling Under at 48¢ is equivalent to buying Over at 52¢.
$3,711 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%
91% winner buys Over
Sharp sports wallet with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Over 3.5 at 51¢ despite this being a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $176,776 lifetime.
- They have traded across 118 events with the same 91% success rate, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Over 3.5 as mispriced despite a deep, active market.
$3,181 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%
Brand-new repeat bettor
A 24-hour-old wallet is repeatedly placing meaningful bets on this match and is already profitable, though the edge is still unproven due to a tiny sample.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old but has already placed $13.3K in flagged bets.
- They are up $4.7K so far, though only 2 resolved bets are on record.
- The bettor is taking Over at 52¢ in a very liquid market, suggesting a clear event-level view.
$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%
New repeat sports whale
Very new wallet is repeatedly placing large sports bets, has early profitability, and is adding $7k to Over across related Spain-Cabo Verde markets.
- This wallet is less than 24 hours old but has already made five flagged large bets totaling $13.3k.
- It is up $4.7k on $8.2k invested so far, despite only two resolved bets.
- The bettor bought $7k of Over around 52¢ and is also active across three markets in the same event.
$7,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%
New wallet 5-0 streak
New 6-day-old wallet with a 5-0 resolved record and +$5.2k P&L is adding another Over bet despite the market being highly liquid.
- This new bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades and up $5.2k so far.
- The wallet is only 6 days old but has already had multiple flagged bets totaling $2.3k.
- Bought Over at 51¢ in a near 50/50 market, implying a clean plus-money style edge if their streak is real.
$1,300 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet 5-0 streak
New 6-day-old wallet with a 5-0 resolved record and +$5.2k P&L is adding another Over bet despite the market being highly liquid.
- This new bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades and up $5.2k so far.
- The wallet is only 6 days old but has already had multiple flagged bets totaling $2.3k.
- Bought Over at 51¢ in a near 50/50 market, implying a clean plus-money style edge if their streak is real.
$1,200 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% winner buys Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% historical win rate and strong profits bought Under at even odds.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $91K lifetime.
- They have beaten market odds by a wide margin across 211 past positions.
- Buying Under at 50¢ implies an even-money entry from a proven sports bettor.
$3,001 on Under | Wallet win rate: 91%
99% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 78/79 resolved record is effectively buying Under 3.5 at even money despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 78 of 79 resolved trades and is up $159K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 99 events tracked and a 99% hit rate.
- Selling Over at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Under at 50¢ on a liquid soccer total.
$5,208 on Under | Wallet win rate: 99%
94% winner buying Under
Sharp bettor with a 94% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Under at even odds on a very liquid soccer total.
- This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved trades and is up $3,340 lifetime.
- They bought Under at 50¢, implying they see even odds as mispriced.
- The market is highly liquid, so the signal comes from the wallet’s strong track record rather than market impact.
$1,052 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x198a...6762 — Under, $739,838 (100% win rate)
- 0x97cb...e4d0 — Under, $554,736 (100% win rate)
- 0xe2dd...4a23 — Over, $500,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Under, $254,882 (89% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Over, $252,290 (54% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Over, $140,793 (64% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Over, $117,879 (53% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Over, $85,640 (49% win rate)
- 0x93eb...c387 — Over, $83,681 (71% win rate)
- 0x5848...a698 — Over, $79,999
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