Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $150,049.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Profitable serial soccer bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought No on the draw at 79¢ before the market moved sharply to 96¢.

  • This bettor is up $187,761 lifetime across 1,448 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 31 related events and put $15,377 across 3 markets in this match setup.
  • Their 79¢ No entry has already moved to 96¢, so the edge may be gone unless the price pulls back.

$1,307 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought the draw well above current odds, making this a notable contrarian soccer position despite modest size.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 178 resolved bets and is up $70k lifetime.
  • They are active across 84 events, suggesting a repeat cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • They paid 40¢ for the draw while the market now sits near 28¢, making this a contrarian position.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

88% winner buying draw

Sharp soccer bettor with an 88% win rate and large lifetime profit is buying the draw at 33¢ amid recent upward price momentum.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $785k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.4M placed across 159 events.
  • They bought Yes at 33¢ while the draw price is up 7 points today and 11 points this week.

$1,735 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

85% winner buying draw

Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $407k lifetime profit is effectively buying the draw at 29¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $407k lifetime.
  • They are effectively buying the draw at 29¢, slightly below the current 30¢ market price.
  • The wallet has a large sample size: 989 wins across 1,168 resolved bets.

$1,057 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surfaced despite a modest signal because this is a highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a large sample buying the draw at 29¢.

  • This bettor has a deep track record: 354 resolved bets with $430,740 in lifetime profit.
  • They have traded across 197 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy rather than a one-off punt.
  • Entry at 29¢ implies a roughly 3.4x payout if Aston Villa vs. Liverpool ends level.

$2,175 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

New whale-led draw cluster

A high-conviction 4-wallet cluster bought nearly $44k of Draw/Yes amid a 266x volume spike, led by a very new wallet with strong early profits and repeat large-bet activity.

  • A 1-day-old wallet put over $37k on the draw and is already up $135k across early positions.
  • Four wallets all backed the same side, totaling nearly $44k on Yes.
  • Market volume spiked 266x while the draw price has moved up 6.5% this week.

$43,945 on Yes

Profitable new whale buying Yes

A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets, an 8-0 resolved record, and $135k profit bought $37.5k of Yes during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and is already up $135,815.
  • It has been flagged 36 times with nearly $596k in notable bets, suggesting repeated high-conviction positioning.
  • The $37.5k buy came during a 2,566x volume spike, with Yes already up 6.5% this week.

$37,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable soccer volume spike

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with $169k lifetime profit is effectively buying the draw amid an extreme pre-event volume spike and upward price momentum.

  • This bettor is up $169k lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved bets.
  • They are effectively buying the draw at 28¢ as the market sees a 2,566x volume spike.
  • The draw price is already moving up, gaining 3 points today and 6.5 points this week.

$3,290 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought $12.3k of No amid an extreme pre-event volume spike and rising market activity.

  • This bettor has traded 1,128 resolved markets and is up about $1.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.4M deployed across 181 events.
  • The market saw a huge pre-game volume spike, and this $12.3k No buy is aligned with heavy fresh interest.

$12,332 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a perfect 29/29 resolved record and positive P&L bought No on the draw market at 73¢.

  • This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved positions and is up $11,947 lifetime.
  • They beat the market by a wide margin, winning at average 60¢ entries with a perfect record.
  • They bought No at 73¢, backing Aston Villa vs. Liverpool not to end in a draw.

$1,738 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 10273179, $131,180 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x6d11...c449 Outcome 10273179, $19,868 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x6945...729c Outcome 10273179, $19,833
  4. 0xc788...8545 Outcome 10273179, $10,889 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 21497022, $9,810
  6. 0x5b90...52ae Outcome 10273179, $7,254 (21% win rate)
  7. 0x3f3a...e8fd Outcome 10273179, $5,258 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x2e5a...0122 Outcome 10273179, $4,613 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x87a1...b6ba Outcome 10273179, $3,704 (97% win rate)
  10. 0xb184...b6c6 Outcome 10273179, $3,583 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Aston Villa beats Liverpool

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

ResolvedAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC$150,049 tracked15 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
80¢
73¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$1,307 on No at 79¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 40¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$1,735 on Yes at 33¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$1,057 on Yes at 29¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$2,175 on Yes at 29¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$43,945 on Yes at 28¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$37,500 on Yes at 28¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$3,290 on Yes at 28¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$12,332 on No at 72¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$1,738 on No at 73¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$1,999 on No at 72¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$7,606 on No at 72¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$7,606 on No at 73¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$23,818 on No at 72¢

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

5d ago

$2,940 on Yes at 27¢

Related Theses