Part of: SMU vs. Louisville
SMU vs. Louisville
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,274.
Categories: Sports, CFB, Games
Notable Trades
Linked cluster backs SMU with sharp bettors
An eight-wallet, partially linked cluster deployed nearly $88,000 on SMU, including highly profitable bettors, alongside a 166x volume spike and rising odds.
- Eight wallets bought SMU for $87,765, with two linked through a shared funder.
- The group includes a bettor with a 95% win rate across 9,231 resolved positions and another with an 89% win rate across 925.
- Trading volume ran 166 times above its historical average, while SMU moved from roughly 46% to 50%.
$87,765 on SMU
Four-wallet Louisville conviction cluster
Four wallets placed $24.3K in coordinated Louisville buys, including highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates, despite one large losing trader already holding a major position.
- Four wallets bought $24,339 of Louisville, with the largest trade worth $18,724.
- Two participating bettors win 79% and 87% of their trades while showing substantial lifetime profits.
- The buying coincided with a 1,662x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated interest in Louisville.
$19,326 on Louisville
96% win-rate bettor adds to SMU
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing SMU position at 46 cents.
- This bettor has won 23 of 24 resolved trades, with a $3,437 profit and an average entry price of just 22 cents.
- They are adding $1,380 to an existing SMU position at 46 cents, signaling continued conviction despite recent price weakness.
- The trade is in a liquid market with a 1-cent spread, making the entry reasonably straightforward to follow.
$1,380 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite bettor backs Louisville
A highly profitable, 94% win-rate bettor made a concentrated $2,003 purchase of Louisville in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor has won 94% of 3,078 resolved positions and earned $1.53 million in profit.
- The $2,003 Louisville purchase represented roughly 491% of recent 24-hour market volume.
- Louisville was bought at 54¢, close to the market price, suggesting confidence from a proven sports trader rather than a deep bargain entry.
$2,003 on Louisville | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner adds to Louisville
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate added $3,800 to an existing Louisville position in an unusually quiet market.
- This bettor has won 80 of 85 resolved positions, with $70,293 in profit and a 36% edge over implied odds.
- They added $3,800 to Louisville at roughly 53.5¢, increasing an existing $8,385 position.
- The trades represented 466% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
$3,800 on Louisville | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 11462744, $318,962 (89% win rate)
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Outcome 11462744, $250,000 (46% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11462744, $81,363 (64% win rate)
- 0xcd84...bec6 — Outcome 11462744, $46,512
- 0xeb29...fe87 — Outcome 11462744, $13,186 (71% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 11462744, $10,636
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 11462744, $3,762 (55% win rate)
- 0x6f87...2ad8 — Outcome 11462744, $3,075 (96% win rate)
- 0xd767...2591 — Outcome 11462744, $2,745 (100% win rate)
- 0xc6ec...81c2 — Outcome 11462744, $2,621
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