Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini
This Polymarket market covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini, resolving to the player who advances. Odds can move as traders react to form, lineup news, and match conditions; PolySpotter currently tracks $2,000 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market. The market is scheduled around the June 29, 2026 match and resolves by July 6, 2026 if a winner is determined within the rules.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,019.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 92% long-run win rate bought Berrettini at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- They have traded across 614 events with $8.4M in cross-market volume.
- Bought Berrettini at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$2,000 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 92%
98% sports sharp buying favorite
Sharp sports wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong cross-market history bought Berrettini at 82%.
- This bettor has won 54 of 55 resolved bets and is up $21,042 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 59 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Entry at 82¢ is already in profit with the market now around 84¢.
$2,478 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 98%
Momentum flip into favorite
Surfaced as a momentum/flow alert rather than a sharp-wallet alert: Berrettini jumped from the trader’s 68¢ entry to 88¢ amid a 31x volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- Berrettini moved from 68¢ to 88¢ after this buy, alongside a 31x pre-match volume spike.
- The bettor flipped away from Wawrinka and bought Berrettini, suggesting fresh conviction after changing sides.
- This is more of a momentum signal than a proven-sharp bettor signal; the wallet is down lifetime despite heavy activity.
$1,740 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial trader joins cluster
Three wallets, including a profitable high-volume serial trader, are jointly taking the Wawrinka underdog side at about 13¢ despite Berrettini being the heavy favorite.
- A profitable serial trader with a 72% record and $150K in gains is buying the Wawrinka side.
- Three wallets are taking the same underdog position at about 13¢, now trading near 16¢.
- The bet is against the market favorite, giving roughly a 7.7x payout if Wawrinka advances.
$4,604 on Stan Wawrinka
Elite bettor caught Berrettini move
Elite profitable tennis/cross-market bettor bought Berrettini at 69¢ before the market moved sharply to 88¢, supported by volume and price momentum.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.25M lifetime.
- They bought Berrettini at 69¢ before the market jumped to 88¢.
- This is a serial cross-market bettor with $5.8M across 427 events.
$4,237 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 81%
Momentum flip into favorite
Surfaced as a momentum/flow alert rather than a sharp-wallet alert: Berrettini jumped from the trader’s 68¢ entry to 88¢ amid a 31x volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- Berrettini moved from 68¢ to 88¢ after this buy, alongside a 31x pre-match volume spike.
- The bettor flipped away from Wawrinka and bought Berrettini, suggesting fresh conviction after changing sides.
- This is more of a momentum signal than a proven-sharp bettor signal; the wallet is down lifetime despite heavy activity.
$1,360 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 62%
97% sports sharp buying underdog
Elite sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and $3.8M profit bought $4,000 of Stan Wawrinka at 32¢ despite Berrettini being favored.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.8M lifetime.
- They have traded 271 events with a 97% win rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Entry at 32¢ on Wawrinka implies a potential ~3.1x payout if the underdog advances.
$4,000 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable sports serial trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a 72% record across nearly 3,000 resolved bets is backing Berrettini despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 72% of nearly 3,000 resolved bets and is up about $150K lifetime.
- They have traded across 188 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off guess.
- Entry at 78¢ is slightly above the current 76¢ price, so the market is offering a marginally better copy entry now.
$1,468 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable tennis sharps cluster
Strong Berrettini buy cluster led by highly profitable serial sports wallets, including an 81% winner up $4.2M lifetime, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $4.2M lifetime bought Berrettini twice for about $10.9K.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $25.9K, with one other wallet up $2.9M lifetime also joining.
- Market volume spiked 27.5x before the match, suggesting heavy pre-event positioning around Berrettini.
$25,866 on Matteo Berrettini
Perfect-record tennis sharp
A perfect-record bettor with 27 resolved wins and $117,973 profit bought Wawrinka, and the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor is 27-for-27 on resolved positions and up $117,973 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market bettor across 41 events with a perfect recorded record.
- They bought Wawrinka at 47¢, while the market has since fallen to 24¢, making the same side much cheaper now.
$2,133 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa569...08df — Outcome 78481134, $19,998 (35% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 78481134, $12,500 (96% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 78481134, $10,171 (59% win rate)
- 0x5c50...e0c9 — Outcome 78481134, $7,500 (26% win rate)
- 0x56ac...d77e — Outcome 95004810, $7,294 (48% win rate)
- 0x749e...1090 — Outcome 78481134, $6,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x05d9...ecd7 — Outcome 78481134, $4,778 (77% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 78481134, $4,250 (31% win rate)
- 0xe1c0...ecf1 — Outcome 78481134, $4,098 (76% win rate)
- 0xe9f5...3e7a — Outcome 78481134, $3,834 (60% win rate)
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