Part of: Aston Villa vs. Bayern Munich
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,871.
Categories: Sports, Games, Club Friendlies, Soccer
Notable Trades
82% winner adds to No
A highly profitable bettor with 82% wins and a substantial edge is adding to an existing No position, though the market is liquid and the trade is not a fresh entry.
- This bettor has won 82% of 149 resolved trades and earned $225,045 in profit.
- They are adding $1,145 to an existing No position, bringing their investment on No to over $8,200.
- The 50¢ entry is near the market price, with a copy ceiling of 60¢.
$1,145 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
99% win-rate bettor buys No
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a fresh $2,054 position on No at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 1,679 of 1,692 resolved positions, with a reported $16.7M profit.
- They are making a fresh $2,054 bet on No at 49¢, implying meaningful confidence in Bayern not winning.
- The wallet has traded across 763 events and 808 markets, providing an unusually large and consistent track record.
$2,054 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite bettor buys No
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge bought No at 47¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 96% of 148 resolved trades and is up $628,449.
- The wallet bought No at 47¢ while the market priced No at only 46%, signaling strong conviction.
- Trading volume surged to 41.2 times its historical average, adding support to the position.
$2,721 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
Whale scaling into Bayern Yes
A serial trader with 2,747 resolved bets added nearly $9,000 to an existing $103,682 Yes position amid a 41.2x market-volume spike, though the historical edge is modest.
- This trader added $8,951 to an existing $103,682 Yes position, signaling increased conviction at 53–54¢.
- The market experienced a 41.2x spike versus its historical trading volume while Bayern Yes rose 3.5% over the day.
- The wallet has a 64% win rate across 2,747 resolved bets, providing meaningful but not exceptional track-record support.
$8,951 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 41205417, $20,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x719b...30e5 — Outcome 41205417, $14,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 41205417, $12,768 (63% win rate)
- 0xfed1...eedb — Outcome 41205417, $7,605 (82% win rate)
- 0xe1fa...9c2c — Outcome 41205417, $6,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x29cc...3c29 — Outcome 41205417, $5,790 (96% win rate)
- 0x1171...98dc — Outcome 41205417, $3,905 (90% win rate)
- 0x99f0...9495 — Outcome 41205417, $3,179 (49% win rate)
- 0xc98f...a13f — Outcome 41205417, $1,950
- 0xc0fd...a0a9 — Outcome 41205417, $1,919 (83% win rate)
Related Theses
Universitario fails to win
Covers 1 related market
