Part of: England vs. Argentina - More Markets

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $156,450.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

$94K coordinated Under pivot

Five wallets sold $94k of Over into a 17.5-point move lower, effectively a coordinated Under pivot supported by heavy event-wide trading.

  • Five wallets moved the same way, selling $93.9K of Over within 17 minutes.
  • This is effectively an Under entry around 28¢ after Over fell 17.5 points in the past day.
  • The flow comes from active cross-market bettors, including one wallet with 793 resolved trades and a 78% win rate.

$93,439 on Under

Pregame coordinated flow

Surfacing due to a large pre-game cross-market position backed by 18-wallet one-sided flow and a sharp volume spike, though the wallet's own long-term P&L is not strong.

  • 18 wallets are betting the same event direction, totaling $338K in one-sided flow.
  • This wallet has put $101K across 6 markets in the same match, including Over positions that moved from 69–72¢ to 89¢.
  • Market volume spiked up to 60x normal before kickoff, suggesting a coordinated pre-game thesis.

$58,011 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%

Serial 94% winner adding

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Over position despite the already-high 89¢ price.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $93.9K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 41 events and 58 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting pattern.
  • This is an add-on bet: they already held Over and just put another $5K in at 89¢.

$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc430...1ebf Outcome 62841982, $224,795 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 62841982, $179,221 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xafe4...f3f7 Outcome 62841982, $32,000 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x3cd6...18e4 Outcome 62841982, $26,094 (87% win rate)
  5. 0xc58d...9373 Outcome 62841982, $20,907 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x56f4...9ec5 Outcome 62841982, $15,151 (72% win rate)
  7. 0xfeb7...fe3c Outcome 62841982, $14,579
  8. 0x0e97...8ffa Outcome 62841982, $12,500 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 62841982, $9,730 (68% win rate)
  10. 0x898b...6c00 Outcome 62841982, $8,049 (72% win rate)

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Both teams score, England advances

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England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

ResolvedEngland vs. Argentina - More Markets$156,450 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Argentina, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if England and Argentina combine to score 1 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 1, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

13d ago

$93,439 on Under at 28¢

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

13d ago

$58,011 on Over at 89¢

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

13d ago

$5,000 on Over at 89¢

Related Theses