Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo
Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Kamil Majchrzak and Alejandro Tabilo, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 6, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $2,836 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal, including sharp interest in the underdog.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,759.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winning sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and positive P&L is buying Majchrzak despite already-high odds.
- This bettor has won 43 of 45 resolved trades and is up about $2.6K lifetime.
- They bought $2.8K of Majchrzak at 87¢, showing confidence even at heavy-favorite odds.
- The market has already moved 19 points in Majchrzak’s favor over the last day.
$2,836 on Kamil Majchrzak | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable bettors backing underdog
Three profitable, high-volume sports wallets are all buying the same Wimbledon underdog, led by a bettor up $16.4M lifetime.
- Three experienced wallets are all buying Alejandro Tabilo at 32–35¢ despite the market pricing him as the underdog.
- The strongest wallet has a 63% win rate over 18,070 resolved bets and is up $16.4M lifetime.
- This is coordinated one-sided flow in a liquid tennis market, not just one isolated bet.
$4,224 on Alejandro Tabilo
Proven sharp tennis buyer
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a large proven track record: 78% wins over 934 resolved bets and +$477k lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $477k lifetime.
- They bought $1.7k of Kamil Majchrzak, over half of this market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 68¢ suggests they see value even with Majchrzak already favored.
$1,700 on Kamil Majchrzak | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 19528755, $3,284 (72% win rate)
- 0x2374...a426 — Outcome 19528755, $2,642 (88% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 19528755, $2,600 (49% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 19528755, $1,499 (64% win rate)
- 0x9807...157b — Outcome 19528755, $1,200
- 0x1df2...89a0 — Outcome 19528755, $1,058 (49% win rate)
- 0x6318...46b1 — Outcome 19528755, $1,000
- 0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 19528755, $1,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xd9af...359c — Outcome 19528755, $755 (84% win rate)
- 0x1a3e...cd83 — Outcome 19528755, $750
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