Part of: Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Lexus Eastbourne Open match between Toby Samuel and Juan Manuel Cerundolo, scheduled for June 25, 2026, with resolution by July 2, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $30,456 in smart money tracked and one notable smart money signal, including alerts pointing to Cerundolo-backed sharp activity.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,995.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp linked tennis cluster
Eight wallets, including highly profitable sports bettors, bought Toby Samuel in size and pushed the market from roughly coin-flip levels to 100%, though the edge is likely gone now.
- Two standout wallets in this cluster are up $7.4M and $1.9M lifetime, with very strong resolved-bet records.
- Eight wallets bought the same side for $30.5k, with linked funding and a 32-point price move toward Toby Samuel.
- The market is already at 100%, so this is more useful as a sharp-flow signal than a live entry.
$30,456 on Toby Samuel
98% winner backs underdog
Elite tennis bettor with a 98% record and $3.1M profit is taking a $10k position on Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 26¢.
- This bettor has won 83 of 85 resolved positions and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $7.3M in tracked volume across 225 events.
- A $10k buy at 26¢ backs the underdog despite the market pricing him near 24%.
$10,000 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Toby Samuel, with a supporting 19-point price move despite the bet being modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor is up $1.85M lifetime across 1,248 resolved markets.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, appearing across 404 events and $6.1M in detected activity.
- They bought Toby Samuel at 75¢, while the market is now around 70¢, offering a cheaper entry than the trader got.
$3,175 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 63%
98% winner backs underdog
Elite tennis bettor with a 98% record and $3.1M profit is taking a $10k position on Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 26¢.
- This bettor has won 83 of 85 resolved positions and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $7.3M in tracked volume across 225 events.
- A $10k buy at 26¢ backs the underdog despite the market pricing him near 24%.
$10,000 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Toby Samuel, with a supporting 19-point price move despite the bet being modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor is up $1.85M lifetime across 1,248 resolved markets.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, appearing across 404 events and $6.1M in detected activity.
- They bought Toby Samuel at 75¢, while the market is now around 70¢, offering a cheaper entry than the trader got.
$1,314 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 63%
92% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 92% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Juan Manuel Cerundolo at even odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $393K lifetime.
- They have traded 302 markets across 275 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 50¢ gives a clean even-odds copy point on Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
$2,000 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 92%
Proven serial sports bettor
Sharp profitable tennis bettor with a 79% long-run win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Juan Manuel Cerundolo at even odds.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $78,947 lifetime.
- They have a large track record: 561 resolved bets and $349,710 invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$1,330 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 79%
95% winner backing Cerundolo
Sharp tennis bettor with a 95% resolved win record and strong profit is effectively backing Juan Manuel Cerundolo at even odds.
- This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved bets and is up $27.5k lifetime.
- Selling Toby Samuel at 50¢ effectively backs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at even odds.
- Their average winning entry is 45¢, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced underdogs or coin-flips.
$2,610 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 95%
94% winner buying Samuel
Surface despite the weak alert score because this wallet has an exceptional 94% resolved win rate and $7.4M lifetime profit, making the Samuel buy a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $7.4M lifetime.
- They put $5,000 on Toby Samuel at 51¢ in a liquid tennis market.
- Entry near even odds implies they see Samuel as mispriced despite the market showing 50/50.
$5,000 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 94%
86% serial sports bettor
High-win-rate serial sports bettor bought Toby Samuel at even odds amid a large pre-event volume spike, despite lifetime P&L being roughly flat.
- This bettor has won 86% of 190 resolved positions, far above their average entry odds of 54%.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 104 events and $568K in tracked bets.
- Market volume spiked 229x versus its historical average before this even-odds Toby Samuel buy.
$3,458 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 46920915, $78,218 (96% win rate)
- 0xf5d3...e1df — Outcome 46920915, $12,432 (76% win rate)
- 0xcc92...649d — Outcome 46920915, $7,015 (74% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — Outcome 46920915, $6,575 (76% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 46920915, $5,309 (69% win rate)
- 0x6157...9fb4 — Outcome 46920915, $4,000 (92% win rate)
- 0xfd2f...37dd — Outcome 46920915, $3,777 (59% win rate)
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 46920915, $3,024 (78% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 46920915, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x00c8...9ccd — Outcome 46920915, $2,660 (79% win rate)
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