Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,813.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

91% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.05M profit bought this market despite a major price swing, making it a strong follow candidate even though the fill was much worse than the current price.

  • This bettor wins 91% of 914 resolved trades and is up $2.05M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across 288 markets in 226 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Weibo at 90¢, but the market is now 60¢ after a 27-point drop, so only a much better entry makes sense

$1,952 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable new wallet whale

A 14-day-old wallet with 17 prior large-bet flags, early profits, and a perfect 6-for-6 resolved record just put another $9.9k into Top Esports.

  • This 14-day-old wallet has already been flagged 17 times for large bets and is up $45.7k.
  • They have won all 6 of their resolved markets so far, which makes this new $9.9k position worth tracking.
  • They bought Top Esports at 70¢ in a deep, active market, showing clear conviction rather than a random punt.

$9,909 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%

New whale cluster on favorite

Three wallets piled $16.1k into Top Esports during a 31x volume spike, led by a new repeat high-stakes wallet already up $45.7k, making this coordinated flow worth watching.

  • Three wallets all bought Top Esports within minutes, putting $16.1k on the same side.
  • The lead wallet is only 14 days old, has been flagged 17 times, and is already up $45.7k.
  • They entered around 69-70¢ in a market with nearly $270k of 24h volume, suggesting confident agreement rather than a random small punt.

$16,126 on Top Esports

Profitable serial event trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate is backing Top Esports at 69¢, making this a reasonable follow despite only one moderate-strength signal.

  • This bettor wins 70% of their trades and is up $83k across 61 resolved markets
  • They have traded 34 related events for $119k total, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Top Esports at 69¢, a clear favorite price in a liquid market with tight 1¢ spreads

$3,519 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 76%

98% win-rate bettor

A massively profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate just took a fresh $9.8k position on Weibo Gaming at 32¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $3.39M lifetime.
  • They have done this across 418 markets and 277 events, so this is not a one-off hot streak.
  • They bought Weibo Gaming at 32¢, a price that implies they see meaningful value in the underdog.

$9,796 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%

96% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary long-term record bought Weibo Gaming at 32¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.8M across 1,165 bets
  • They bought Weibo Gaming at 32¢, a price that implies they see the team as meaningfully undervalued
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate sharp entry rather than noise in a thin book

$1,881 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

9-wallet funded cluster

A 9-wallet funded cluster is active here, and this wallet is a new account fading the favorite by effectively buying Weibo at 31¢.

  • Nine wallets funded by the same address have been flagged before, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • This trade sells Top Esports at 69¢, which is the same as buying Weibo Gaming at 31¢.
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate directional view instead of noise from a thin book.

$1,630 on Weibo Gaming

Top Holders

  1. 0xc0fd...a0a9 Outcome 18099898, $16,220 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xd24c...5809 Outcome 18099898, $14,216 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 18099898, $6,691 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x17d6...f1e2 Outcome 18099898, $5,653 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x6ce5...02b3 Outcome 18099898, $5,094
  6. 0xcf60...a6f5 Outcome 18099898, $4,999 (78% win rate)
  7. 0x8c75...1b0d Outcome 18099898, $3,244 (60% win rate)
  8. 0xcdca...66eb Outcome 18099898, $3,000 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x8479...40df Outcome 18099898, $2,888 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x6c0e...35f8 Outcome 18099898, $2,140

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$44,813 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

44d ago

$1,952 on Weibo Gaming at 90¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

44d ago

$9,909 on Top Esports at 70¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

44d ago

$16,126 on Top Esports at 70¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

44d ago

$3,519 on Top Esports at 69¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

44d ago

$9,796 on Weibo Gaming at 32¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

44d ago

$1,881 on Weibo Gaming at 32¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

45d ago

$1,630 on Weibo Gaming at 31¢

Related Theses