Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO5 Grand Final between FURIA and Team Falcons at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, scheduled for June 21 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with smart money tracked at $83,060 across 2 signals and recent alerts showing activity on both Falcons and FURIA. Resolution is expected by June 21, 2026, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between FURIA and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 21 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $255,911.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked sharp cluster on Falcons
High-conviction Team Falcons flow from 8 wallets includes linked funding, profitable sharp bettors, and entries that have already moved strongly from the mid-60s to 78%.
- Eight wallets bought Team Falcons the same way for $10.7K, including four linked wallets sharing the same funder.
- Several bettors have strong records, including wallets winning 78% and 86% of resolved bets with positive profit.
- They entered around 66¢ on average and the market has already moved to 78¢, showing the trade was early to a major price move.
$10,743 on Team Falcons
99% winner backing FURIA
Elite 99% win-rate wallet made a $78k FURIA buy, backed by one-sided cluster flow and cross-market positioning.
- This bettor has won 67 of 68 resolved positions and is up $836k lifetime.
- They bought $78k of FURIA at 41¢, a large conviction bet from a proven esports trader.
- Six wallets are all buying FURIA, totaling about $111k on the same side.
$78,129 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 99%
91% winner joins FURIA flow
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet is buying FURIA alongside six-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $167,723 lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying FURIA, totaling $110,865 on the same side.
- Entry at 41¢ comes during a 26.7x pre-event volume spike.
$4,931 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 91%
95% winner backing Falcons
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% track record bought Team Falcons, alongside one-sided flow from five wallets.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $42K lifetime.
- Five wallets are all buying Team Falcons, totaling nearly $18.9K in same-side flow.
- Entry at 60¢ suggests the sharp bettor sees value despite Falcons already being favored.
$6,902 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 95%
New whale backing underdog
A 20-day-old repeat whale put $34.8k on FURIA at 40¢, alongside a modest pre-event volume spike, making this worth monitoring despite limited resolved history.
- A new wallet is making repeated large bets, with $102.7k flagged across five alerts.
- This trade put $34.8k on FURIA at 40¢, a sizable underdog position in a major esports final.
- Market volume is running 13.7x above its historical pace before the match.
$34,768 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial trader
Experienced profitable cross-market trader bought FURIA at 40¢ amid a pre-event volume spike, though the edge is moderate rather than whale-sized.
- This bettor has won 67% of 292 resolved bets and is up $7.8k lifetime.
- They have traded across 36 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see FURIA as meaningfully undervalued versus Falcons.
$1,972 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 67%
81% winner backs Falcons
Sharp profitable bettor with an 81% record over 302 resolved positions bought Team Falcons at 60%, making the wallet track record the key signal despite a modest trade size in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved positions and is up $38,880 lifetime.
- They have a large 302-position sample and beat their average entry odds by about 31 points.
- Entry at 60¢ suggests they still see value on Team Falcons despite the market already favoring them.
$1,304 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 81%
98% winner backs underdog
Surfacing because a highly proven bettor with a 98% record and nearly $800k profit bought FURIA at 41¢.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $798k lifetime.
- They bought FURIA at 41¢ despite the market pricing them as the underdog.
- Their average winning entry is 55¢, so a 41¢ buy suggests they see meaningful value.
$4,514 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 98%
86% winner buying favorite
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 86% record over 21 resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Team Falcons for $8.9k at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $2.9k lifetime.
- They put $8.9k on Team Falcons at 60¢ in a highly liquid esports final.
- Their past wins came at average odds of 69%, so this record is better than simply backing heavy favorites.
$8,921 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 86%
98% winner backs Falcons
A highly proven bettor with a 98% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Team Falcons at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $229,890 lifetime.
- They have a long record across 94 events, suggesting this is a repeatable sharp-bettor pattern.
- A $4,130 buy at 60¢ shows fresh confidence in Team Falcons despite a highly liquid market.
$4,130 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x89dd...f662 — FURIA, $269,038 (99% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Team Falcons, $199,999 (94% win rate)
- 0xcd30...f316 — FURIA, $177,039 (100% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — FURIA, $149,999 (47% win rate)
- 0x47a8...52f9 — FURIA, $122,495 (98% win rate)
- 0x73e3...1be9 — FURIA, $99,999 (98% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Team Falcons, $96,591 (57% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — FURIA, $90,803 (74% win rate)
- 0xcd22...37f7 — Team Falcons, $82,444
- 0xdd88...dadb — Team Falcons, $67,580 (69% win rate)
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