Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
This prediction market covers the June 9 MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Diego Padres, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $2,851 in smart money activity and 1 signal, with recent alerts showing sharp and linked-wallet interest on both Padres and Reds. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with special rules for postponement, cancellation, or a tie.
35 smart money signals detected, totaling $236,402.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp MLB bettor riding move
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought Cincinnati as the market moved sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $45.6K lifetime.
- They bought Cincinnati at 79¢ after a 32-point move toward the Reds.
- Their long track record makes this more meaningful than the modest $1.8K trade size.
$1,816 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable wallet caught flip
A profitable wallet sold Cincinnati at 79¢ before the market flipped sharply toward San Diego, creating a strong directional signal despite the wallet’s modest win rate.
- This bettor is up $19.5K lifetime and sold Cincinnati at 79¢ before they fell to 30¢.
- The trade effectively backed San Diego at 21¢, far below the current 70¢ market price.
- Cincinnati has moved down 20 points in the last day, matching the direction of this bet.
$2,851 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 40%
$69K sharp Padres cluster
High-scoring one-sided Padres cluster led by very profitable wallets, including a 79% bettor and a whale up $9.3M lifetime, amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- Three wallets put $69.6K on the Padres, all in the same direction.
- One bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $70K lifetime.
- The largest wallet is up $9.3M lifetime and drove most of the position at 51¢.
$69,584 on San Diego Padres
New profitable whale on underdog
High-scoring alert from a very new repeat whale with early profit, joined by one-sided Reds flow and a major price-impact move, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- A 3-day-old wallet has already put $134k into flagged bets and is up $20k so far.
- Three wallets bought Cincinnati the same way, creating $6.8k of one-sided flow.
- This bettor paid 49¢ for an underdog now around 30¢, so the position is high-conviction but currently underwater.
$4,653 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a small one-sided Reds flow, but this is lower-conviction because the market is highly liquid and the price has since moved against the trade.
- This bettor has a long record across 745 resolved trades and is up $88K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the Cincinnati side in the same window, totaling $6.8K.
- This was effectively a Cincinnati buy at 49¢, but the market has since moved sharply toward San Diego.
$1,053 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 60%
80% sharp bought Padres
Sharp sports wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and $117,920 profit bought Padres despite the market later pulling back below entry.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $117,920 lifetime.
- They have traded across 208 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Their buy helped drive Padres up 19 points in about 3 minutes, though the market has since pulled back below their 85¢ entry.
$1,164 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 80%
83% winning sports bettor
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Cincinnati Reds at 38¢ despite recent downward price action.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $108k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $307k deployed across 38 events.
- Entry at 38¢ backs the underdog and implies they see more value than the market’s current 34% odds.
$1,047 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought the Reds at 37¢ during a sharp move and the price has already rebounded to 44¢.
- This bettor is up $9.3M across 1,569 resolved trades, with a 62% win rate on huge volume.
- They bought Cincinnati at 37¢ during a fast price drop, and the market has already moved back to 44¢.
- This is a repeat cross-market trader with activity across 424 events and $17.9M flagged in similar positioning.
$6,101 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Cincinnati at 36¢ amid a volume spike and sharp move, with the price already rebounding to 44¢.
- This bettor has a long track record: 445 resolved bets, 65% winners, and about $783k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 60 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports-betting strategy.
- Entry at 36¢ has already improved to 44¢, and the market saw a 24x volume spike around the move.
$1,100 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 65%
Three-wallet one-sided surge
Coordinated one-sided MLB flow drove a rapid Padres price move, with this wallet adding $31k despite a mixed historical record.
- Three wallets bought the same side for about $34k, with this wallet accounting for $31k across four buys.
- The price jumped 19 percentage points in under 3 minutes as the buying came in.
- Market volume was nearly 20x its normal pace, suggesting unusually strong pre-game or live-game conviction.
$31,093 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 40%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 37349190, $100,000 (62% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 37349190, $32,609 (68% win rate)
- 0xa2b5...4582 — Outcome 37349190, $28,913 (56% win rate)
- 0x7634...600d — Outcome 37349190, $20,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xde49...fe85 — Outcome 26984577, $15,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x8fba...d08a — Outcome 37349190, $10,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xdfa6...6c6c — Outcome 37349190, $6,800 (88% win rate)
- 0x09af...9728 — Outcome 37349190, $6,217 (100% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 26984577, $5,416 (45% win rate)
- 0x1d16...212e — Outcome 37349190, $3,767 (83% win rate)
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