Part of: Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka

This Polymarket market covers the Bengaluru 2 tennis match between Keegan Smith and Ilya Ivashka, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 22, 2026 if the match is completed within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $12,557 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts from a sharp tennis cluster and a sharp 81% tennis bettor.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,157.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial sports bettor spike

Serial tennis/sports cross-market trader made a $10k Keegan Smith buy amid a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has a large track record, winning 65% across 810 resolved bets and trading 178 events.
  • They put $10,000 on Keegan Smith at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
  • Volume jumped 56x above the recent average, suggesting fresh pre-match money is piling in.

$10,000 on Keegan Smith | Wallet win rate: 65%

Sharp tennis cluster

Three wallets pushed the same Keegan Smith side with a strong sharp bettor converting an Ivashka sell into Keegan exposure, alongside a major pre-match volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249K lifetime is effectively backing Keegan Smith.
  • Three wallets put $12.6K on the same side, driving an 85x pre-event volume spike.
  • Entry around 70¢ suggests the cluster sees Keegan as materially more likely than the market’s current price.

$12,557 on Keegan Smith

Sharp 81% tennis bettor

Proven profitable tennis bettor with an 81% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Ilya Ivashka for more than the market's entire 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $250k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 62 events and $137k in similar event-level bets.
  • The $2.6k buy was larger than this market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction at 55¢.

$2,600 on Ilya Ivashka | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11277691, $10,432 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x8f04...7994 Outcome 11277691, $3,832 (7% win rate)
  3. 0x2f77...32cd Outcome 11277691, $2,324
  4. 0xf706...f685 Outcome 11277691, $1,609
  5. 0x18a4...3a31 Outcome 11277691, $1,507 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 11277691, $1,359 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x0e1b...ecaf Outcome 11277691, $1,124 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x710c...78ea Outcome 85170861, $1,037 (91% win rate)
  9. 0xbfd7...f0bf Outcome 11277691, $901 (51% win rate)
  10. 0x5aa9...febe Outcome 11277691, $765 (56% win rate)

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Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka

5dBengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka$25,157 tracked3 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Ilya Ivashka in the Bengaluru 2, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Ilya Ivashka. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Ilya Ivashka
56¢
53¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka

1d ago

$10,000 on Keegan Smith at 73¢

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka

1d ago

$12,557 on Keegan Smith at 70¢

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka

1d ago

$2,600 on Ilya Ivashka at 55¢

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