Part of: Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka
This Polymarket market covers the Bengaluru 2 tennis match between Keegan Smith and Ilya Ivashka, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 22, 2026 if the match is completed within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $12,557 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts from a sharp tennis cluster and a sharp 81% tennis bettor.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,157.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial sports bettor spike
Serial tennis/sports cross-market trader made a $10k Keegan Smith buy amid a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has a large track record, winning 65% across 810 resolved bets and trading 178 events.
- They put $10,000 on Keegan Smith at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
- Volume jumped 56x above the recent average, suggesting fresh pre-match money is piling in.
$10,000 on Keegan Smith | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp tennis cluster
Three wallets pushed the same Keegan Smith side with a strong sharp bettor converting an Ivashka sell into Keegan exposure, alongside a major pre-match volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249K lifetime is effectively backing Keegan Smith.
- Three wallets put $12.6K on the same side, driving an 85x pre-event volume spike.
- Entry around 70¢ suggests the cluster sees Keegan as materially more likely than the market’s current price.
$12,557 on Keegan Smith
Sharp 81% tennis bettor
Proven profitable tennis bettor with an 81% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Ilya Ivashka for more than the market's entire 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $250k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 62 events and $137k in similar event-level bets.
- The $2.6k buy was larger than this market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction at 55¢.
$2,600 on Ilya Ivashka | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11277691, $10,432 (73% win rate)
- 0x8f04...7994 — Outcome 11277691, $3,832 (7% win rate)
- 0x2f77...32cd — Outcome 11277691, $2,324
- 0xf706...f685 — Outcome 11277691, $1,609
- 0x18a4...3a31 — Outcome 11277691, $1,507 (54% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 11277691, $1,359 (63% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Outcome 11277691, $1,124 (50% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Outcome 85170861, $1,037 (91% win rate)
- 0xbfd7...f0bf — Outcome 11277691, $901 (51% win rate)
- 0x5aa9...febe — Outcome 11277691, $765 (56% win rate)
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