Part of: Haiti vs. Scotland
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
This prediction market asks whether Scotland will win its scheduled FIFA World Cup game on June 13, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market resolves Yes if Scotland wins in regulation, and No for a draw, loss, cancellation with no makeup game, or any non-win outcome. PolySpotter is tracking $16,640 in smart money activity, including whale-led buying and fading signals ahead of resolution on June 14, 2026 UTC.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 13, 2026 If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $506,052.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable new whale backs Yes
New repeat bettor with early profits is making a sizable $16.6k Scotland Yes bet despite a highly liquid market.
- This new bettor is already up $8.7k and has won all 4 resolved bets so far.
- They bought $16.6k of Yes at 64¢, their sixth flagged large bet in under 30 days.
- The market is very liquid, so this looks like a conviction sports position rather than a thin-market move.
$16,640 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp sports bettor buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with an 83% record and strong profit is buying Scotland Yes at 64%.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $20.6K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at about 32¢ on average, suggesting they have beaten market odds by a wide margin.
- They put $3.5K on Scotland at 64¢ in a highly liquid market.
$3,480 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Perfect new bettor backing Yes
New repeat bettor with a perfect early record and positive P&L is adding $2.5k to Scotland Yes despite this being a liquid market.
- This new bettor has won all 8 resolved bets and is up $6,025 so far.
- They have now been flagged 7 times, with $12,343 in notable bets across 8 positions.
- The $2,500 buy at 64¢ suggests continued confidence in Scotland despite a highly liquid market.
$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Undefeated new sports bettor
New repeat bettor with an 8-0 resolved record and positive P&L is adding a $1,000 Scotland Yes bet despite a liquid market.
- This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved trades and is up $6,025 so far.
- The wallet has now triggered 6 large-bet alerts, with $10,843 total flagged across positions.
- Entry at 64¢ implies they are backing Scotland as a strong favorite with room for upside.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% winner buying Yes
Surface because the wallet has a validated 91% record on resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L, even though this is a liquid market and the individual bet is modest.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $30K lifetime.
- They are putting $7K on Scotland at 63¢, adding conviction despite a highly liquid market.
- The wallet has been repeatedly flagged historically, suggesting this is not a one-off bet.
$7,023 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
93% whale-led funded cluster
A proven 93% win-rate whale and two linked wallets bought $416K of Scotland Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- Lead wallet wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $3.5M lifetime.
- Three linked wallets bought the same side, putting $416K on Yes at 64¢.
- Market volume spiked 859x versus its historical average, with all flagged flow on Scotland to win.
$416,701 on Yes
New whale buying Yes
A 5-day-old repeat large bettor put $38k on Yes amid a 1021x pre-event volume spike, creating a strong new-wallet conviction signal despite limited track record.
- A 5-day-old wallet just bought $38k of Yes at 62¢ and has $132k in flagged large bets already.
- This market saw a 1021x volume spike versus its historical average, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.
- The wallet has only a small resolved record so far, but it is 3-for-3 and continues sizing up.
$38,171 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet with a 66% record over 1,006 resolved bets is buying Scotland Yes at 62¢ despite only a modest single-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 66% of resolved bets and is up $56.7k lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports betting approach.
- Bought Scotland Yes at 62¢ in a liquid market with tight pricing.
$1,121 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Repeat new whale fading Scotland
Very new wallet with repeated large-bet flags is putting $16.3k on Scotland not winning, with early positive P&L but limited resolved history.
- This wallet is under 2 days old and has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling about $90k.
- It just bought $16.3k of No at 38¢, a concentrated bet against Scotland winning.
- The wallet is only 1-for-1 on resolved bets, but is already up $2.7k on $168.8k invested.
$16,258 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is taking a contrarian No position, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor has a long track record: 761 resolved bets and $76.7k in lifetime profit.
- They regularly trade across related markets, with 37 events and $168k in cross-market activity flagged.
- Entry at 38¢ on No is a contrarian position against Scotland’s current 62% win odds.
$1,478 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Yes, $647,787 (93% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — No, $588,624 (64% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — No, $299,997 (62% win rate)
- 0x9243...658e — No, $299,984 (73% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Yes, $161,372 (47% win rate)
- 0xf152...64aa — Yes, $95,465 (65% win rate)
- 0xe549...2d54 — Yes, $85,221 (100% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — No, $76,120 (72% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $75,974 (47% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $51,594 (54% win rate)
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