Part of: Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,347.

Categories: Music, Culture, Celebrities, Eurovision, Rewards 300 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Profitable whale buying YES

A profitable high-volume wallet made a large bullish Denmark trade that dwarfed recent market activity and moved the price.

This bettor has 823 resolved trades, wins 68% of them, and is up $170,605 lifetime.
The $5,656 trade was nearly 5x the market’s recent 24h volume in the scanner window.
Selling No at 67¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 33¢, slightly below the current 35¢ odds.

$5,656 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable whale on quiet market

Large No buy dwarfs recent volume on a quiet Eurovision market, and the bettor has a long profitable history despite not meeting the sharp override threshold.

This bettor is up $171K across 823 resolved bets, with a large $6.7K position here.
The buy was nearly 6x the market’s 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
They entered No at 67¢, above the current 64¢, after a fast price move toward No.

$6,692 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 94296473, $13,850
0x94c4...43ca — Outcome 14130432, $5,197 (78% win rate)
0xd34b...0004 — Outcome 14130432, $1,500 (95% win rate)
0xf5e4...471a — Outcome 14130432, $993
0x44fe...7e51 — Outcome 14130432, $870
0x51fd...4272 — Outcome 14130432, $675
0x6cff...c3da — Outcome 14130432, $516
0x919d...60e1 — Outcome 14130432, $210 (85% win rate)
0x5282...82fc — Outcome 14130432, $209
0x4ed2...63b9 — Outcome 14130432, $200

Related Theses

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

Covers 4 related markets

Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

Covers 2 related markets

Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

Covers 3 related markets

Paraguay reaches knockout stages

Covers 1 related market

Hormuz traffic normalizes by July

Covers 1 related market

Kiros wins CO-01 Democratic nomination

Covers 1 related market

Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner$12,347 tracked2 signalsMusicCultureCelebritiesEurovisionRewards 300 4.5 50

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.