What does the Mariana di Girolamo Oscar nomination market predict?

It predicts whether Mariana di Girolamo will receive an official nomination for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards.

When will the 2027 Oscar nominations be announced?

The market description says nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027.

What are the current Polymarket odds for Mariana di Girolamo?

Current odds were not included in the supplied market data. PolySpotter tracks smart-money activity for this market, including a recent alert indicating a bettor scaled into No.

When does this market resolve?

The listed resolution time is March 15, 2027 at 03:59 UTC. The outcome depends on whether she is officially nominated for Best Supporting Actress.

Part of: Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Will Mariana di Girolamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

This Polymarket market asks whether Mariana di Girolamo will be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards. The supplied data does not include current odds; nominations are scheduled for January 21, 2027, and the market resolves based on the official nomination.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,711.

Categories: Awards, Movies, Oscars, Culture, Oscars 2027

Notable Trades

Bettor scaling into No

The bettor added $1,300 to an existing No position in a very quiet, thin market, showing notable conviction despite a track record that does not clearly establish an edge.

This bettor added $1,300 to an existing No position, bringing their investment on that outcome to about $3,131.
The trade was 130 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume, and the odds have since moved toward No.
The wallet has 262 resolved bets and is up about $13,816, though its 65% win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

$1,411 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Bettor scaling into No

The bettor added $1,300 to an existing No position in a very quiet, thin market, showing notable conviction despite a track record that does not clearly establish an edge.

This bettor added $1,300 to an existing No position, bringing their investment on that outcome to about $3,131.
The trade was 130 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume, and the odds have since moved toward No.
The wallet has 262 resolved bets and is up about $13,816, though its 65% win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

$1,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%